A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Kevin Buckland
Hopes that the U.S. inflation genie is back in the bottle
has given investors globally the confidence to snap up stocks
and riskier currencies, at the notable expense of the dollar.
Wall Street's rally to new records set up gains across Asia,
boding well for the European open, with fresh all-time highs
beckoning for the FTSE and DAX.
The focal point later in the day will be weekly American
jobless claims for further evidence the labour market is also
cooling down. The data set, which doesn't usually garner so much
attention, will be getting a lot more eyeballs after the
surprisingly weak reading last week.
The market is back to betting squarely on two quarter-point
interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year, with the
first fully priced for September, and July now in play.
Europe's data calendar is relatively light, with Norway's
GDP release the highlight.
There are plenty of central bank speakers throughout the day
though, with no less than four regional Fed heads speaking at
various venues: Thomas Barkin, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester
and Patrick Harker. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr
also testifies before the Senate.
European Central Bank (ECB) speakers include Vice President
Luis de Guindos, Bank of Spain Governor Pablo Hernandez de Cos,
and Bank of Portugal boss Mario Centeno. Megan Greene takes the
podium for the Bank of England (BoE) to talk about Britain's
labour market.
Market folk still see the ECB as likely the first among the
biggest global central banks to cut rates, with June all but
locked in by traders. The BoE could follow in just a matter of
days though, with its June 20 policy decision a coin toss.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
-US jobless claims
-Norway GDP
-BT, Deutsche Telecom earnings