Jan 31 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
A tumultuous week rounds off with investors in Asia taking their
cue from more U.S. 'Big Tech' earnings, digesting Fed Chair
Jerome Powell's guidance from earlier in the week, but bracing
for U.S. tariff-related volatility.
The global macro backdrop is broadly supportive, after the
European Central Bank's rate cut and indication of more to come,
the Bank of Canada's cut earlier this week, and expectations the
Bank of England will ease next week.
But just before the Wall Street close on Thursday President
Donald Trump said the U.S. could slap 25% tariffs on Mexico and
Canada. Trump had said Saturday would be tariff decision day -
could China be targeted too?
On the corporate front, Apple ( AAPL ) shares were under pressure in
volatile after-hours trading on Thursday after the company
announced its latest results. The direction they eventually take
could give Asian markets a cue on Friday.
It's been a mixed bag for the 'Magnificent 7' this week.
Nvidia ( NVDA ) shares got hammered on Monday by the DeepSeek news,
shares in Microsoft ( MSFT ) fell sharply on Thursday after the firm's
results, while shares in Tesla and Meta rose in the wake of
their earnings releases.
Another plank of the U.S. tech story took an Asian twist on
Thursday after the Wall Street Journal reported that Japan's
Softbank is in talks to invest $40 billion in OpenAI, more than
had previously been mooted.
Markets in China are closed on Friday for the Chinese New
Year holidays, and markets in South Korea and Taiwan are closed
too. Liquidity across Asia will be lighter than normal.
Japanese markets will be more active though. After the Bank
of Japan last week raised rates to a 17-year high of 0.5% and
upped its inflation forecast, domestic assets will be sensitive
to the latest retail sales, industrial production, unemployment
and Tokyo inflation data on Friday.
In general, the mood music across markets is pretty upbeat,
especially bearing in mind how discordant it was after the
Deepseek-fueled turmoil on Monday.
The S&P 500 is only down 0.5% on the week and the Nasdaq is
off 1.3% - hardly disastrous moves given the nervousness on
Monday that a much more severe correction was on the cards.
Indeed, the equal-weighted Nasdaq is in the green.
The global picture is even brighter. The MSCI World index
goes into Friday flat on the week and hovering around its
all-time high, the MSCI Asia ex-Japan is also steady, while euro
and UK stocks are roaring to record highs.
Monday's turmoil and rebound is reminiscent of the yen
volatility shock from last August - fears of a yen carry trade
unwind slammed stock markets on Aug. 5, yet they recovered
within days. Many haven't looked back since.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Friday:
- Japan retail sales, industrial production, Tokyo CPI
- Australia producer price inflation (Q4)
- Thailand trade (December)
(By Jamie McGeever
Editing by Deepa Babington)