Nov 21 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Investors hoping that
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) eagerly-awaited earnings
after the U.S. close on Wednesday would inject renewed
vigor into world markets will be disappointed, heralding the
prospect of a lukewarm open in Asia on Thursday.
Wall Street spent all day Wednesday firmly in the red before
a late rally, bond yields and the dollar were higher, and a weak
20-year U.S. Treasury bond auction was a reminder of how deep
Washington's fiscal deficit runs and the strain on investors to
fund it.
The global picture wasn't particularly reassuring either.
European stocks fell for a fourth day - their worst run in over
two months - China's yuan slipped to a three and a half month
low on the spot market, and volatility ticked higher.
Then came Nvidia ( NVDA ). The world's most valuable company reported
a beat on third-quarter earnings per share and forecast
fourth-quarter revenue slightly above estimates. But shares
immediately fell in after-hours trading by as much as 5% before
recovering, and Nikkei and Wall Street futures are pointing to a
lower open in Japan and the US on Thursday.
Is the AI darling's shine beginning to fade?
Thursday's economic calendar in Asia is relatively light,
with South Korean export, Indonesian current account and Hong
Kong inflation data the main releases.
Annual inflation in Hong Kong is seen slowing to a 1.7% pace
in October from 2.2% in September, which would mark the steepest
decline since April and heighten concern that deflationary
pressures on the Chinese mainland could be spreading.
There may be more market fireworks from Bank of Japan governor
Kazuo Ueda, who is scheduled to speak at a financial forum in
Paris. Investors and traders will be trying to determine if his
tone and signals differ from his fairly balanced remarks earlier
this week that kept the door open to a December rate hike but
also cautioned against moving too fast.
Judging by the yen's behavior recently, whatever markets
think the BOJ will do is being completely overwhelmed by renewed
hawkishness surrounding the Fed outlook.
The yen has only appreciated in one out of the last eight
trading sessions, and finds itself back below 155.00 per dollar.
It might need a notably hawkish signal from Ueda to engineer a
sustainable recovery or get September's 140.00 per dollar back
into view.
But right now, the Japanese swaps market is pointing to less
than 50 bps of BOJ tightening by the end of next year.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is moving closer to a historic break above
$100,000, boosted by increasing confidence that President Donald
Trump's administration will be a crypto-friendly regime.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Thursday:
- Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda speaks in Paris
- Hong Kong inflation (October)
- South Korea exports (October)