July 11 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Did they or didn't they? The yen surged across the board on
Thursday in what may have been a perfectly timed round of
Japanese intervention upon release of a tame U.S. inflation
report that sent Treasury yields and the dollar lower.
While analysts did not rule out intervention, they said
forex players could have been caught wrong footed on short yen
positions. But local Japanese television cited government
sources as saying official intervention did occur and, while
Jiji said Japan's currency boss Masato Kanda could not comment
yes or no, the news service did quote him saying recent yen
moves were not in line with fundamentals.
Either way, the yen jumped more than 2% at one point against
the greenback and the euro moments after news that U.S. consumer
prices fell for the first time in four years, which bolstered
the case for a circumspect Fed to lower interest rates in
September.
The 0.1% CPI drop from May to June smacks of an important
dovish watershed for data-dependent Fed policymakers. Friday
brings the U.S. Producer Price Index as potential confirmation,
bits of which feed into the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the
Personal Consumption Expenditures prices index.
Futures traders raised the odds of a Fed easing in September
to 85% from 70% before the report and added to bets for a second
cut in December.
While Wall Street took the S&P 500 and Nasdaq
to another set of intraday records after the open, a plunge in
Treasury yields was not enough to
keep the rally going. Only the Dow closed in the green.
Taiwan Semiconductor needs to carry the baton for the
chips sector, and growth stocks in general, after rotation out
of Nvidia ( NVDA ), Apple ( AAPL ) and Tesla took the
froth out of U.S. markets.
Many Asia bourses have their own momentum. No one would rule
out the Nikkei taking a breather from its record-setting
streak. MSCI's Asia ex-Japan stock index rose
1.4% on Thursday.
Beijing's quinquennial Party plenum looms next week as a
source of signals for China's markets. Meanwhile, fresh curbs on
short selling could mean another day of positive vibes for the
Shanghai Composite index after it's 1.06% gain Thursday.
Likewise for the blue-chip CSI300 index.
Dollar/yen was down 1.8% at 158.79 in late U.S.
trade. The euro rose 0.34%.
The yuan strengthened against the falling dollar
and was last at 7.2582 per dollar.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Friday:
- Malaysia industrial output (May)
- Japan industrial output (May)
- U.S. Producer Price Index (June)
- JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup earnings (Q2)
(Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News team;
Editing by Josie Kao)