NEW YORK, July 25 (Reuters) - Computer-driven macro
hedge fund strategies on Wednesday sold $20 billion in equities
and are set to shed at least more $25 billion over the next week
after the stock rout, in one of the largest risk-unwinding
events in a decade, Morgan Stanley ( MS ) said in commentary to
institutional clients on Thursday.
After disappointing earnings reports from Tesla and
Alphabet, investors heavily ditched stocks on
Wednesday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropping 3.6% in
its worst day since October 2022.
"The volatility of the last two weeks started out being very
rotational," said the bank, referring to a recent investors'
rotation to small- from mega caps. "But that has now morphed
into a broad index deleveraging (on Wednesday)."
If volatility persists in the coming days, the sell-off
would rapidly increase, Morgan Stanley ( MS ) said in their commentary,
declining to comment further. An additional 1% day-drop in
global equities could spark sales of $35 billion and macro hedge
funds could dump up to $110 billion in a 3% day fall.
The main U.S. stock indexes were positive on Thursday
afternoon, after stronger-than-expected GDP data.
James Koutoulas, chief executive officer at hedge fund
Typhon Capital Management, told Reuters that even after
Wednesday's sell-off investors remained overweight in equities.
Historically, he said interest rate hikes have been followed by
economic downturns.
"It seems like investors are betting on bucking that trend,"
he said in a note to clients.
Hedge funds are turning more bearish, as they are mainly
reducing their long positions, or bets stocks will rise, while
keeping, and in some cases increasing, bets on shares they
believe will fall, according to Morgan Stanley ( MS ).
Portfolio managers mostly sold shares in the information
technology, consumer staples and material sectors.
Goldman Sachs ( GS ) also said its clients increased short
positions in the so-called macro products, such as large cap and
corporate bond exchange traded funds (ETFs).
PERFORMANCE
Following the market bloodbath, hedge funds' performance
ended Wednesday in the red, although overall they were able to
pare losses compared to the main stock indexes.
Global hedge funds fell 0.67% on average, according to
Morgan Stanley ( MS ), with equities long/short hedge funds in Americas
down the most, 1.04%.
The MSCI All Country World fell 1.67% on
Wednesday, while the S&P 500 was down 2.31%.
"Hedge funds are in the middle of the worst drawdown of an
otherwise positive year," said Mario Unali, head of investment
advisory at Kairos Partners.