SINGAPORE, July 12 (Reuters) - The yen swung between
losses and gains on Friday in volatile trade, reflecting
investors' skittishness after Tokyo was thought to have
intervened to prop up the Japanese currency in the wake of a
cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation report.
Moves in the yen against the dollar and other major
currencies stole the spotlight on Friday, though in the broader
market, Asian stocks cheered the growing bets for a September
rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
The dollar was last 0.05% lower at 158.79 yen,
after having risen more than 0.3% to an intraday high of 159.45
yen and falling 0.7% to a low of 157.75 yen within the span of
the early Asian session on Friday.
Moves were similarly choppy in the other yen crosses, with
the euro last up 0.02% against the yen while sterling
rose 0.1%, both reversing earlier losses against the
Japanese currency.
"It's either one of two things - the market's either jumping
at shadows this morning waiting for a second round of
intervention, and I think now that the (Bank of Japan) has
committed again, there's good reason for them to come back,"
said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.
"The second thought is the market's just really skittish."
Speculation was rife that Japanese authorities had likely
intervened in the currency market to shore up the yen on
Thursday, after it surged nearly 3% against the dollar intraday.
Local media attributed the move to a round of official
buying from Tokyo to prop up a currency that has languished at
38-year lows, though authorities as usual remained reticent on
providing any hints.
The Nikkei newspaper reported that the BOJ conducted rate
checks with banks on the euro against the yen on Friday, citing
several sources.
ON TRACK
Elsewhere, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan was little changed, though was on
track for a 1.6% increase for the week, helped by growing bets
of imminent U.S. rate cuts.
Those expectations were reinforced after Thursday's U.S.
consumer price figures and as Fed officials showed increasing
confidence that inflation was coming to heel.
Market pricing now shows an over 90% chance of a Fed easing
cycle beginning in September, as compared to just over a 50%
chance a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
"While the timing of eventual Fed rate cuts will depend on
incoming data, this report, together with some softening in the
labor market, has further tilted the balance of evidence towards
an earlier start time," said David Doyle, head of economics at
Macquarie.
However, Asian stocks failed to rally on Friday as they
tracked a negative lead from Wall Street, after investors
rotated into smaller companies following the U.S. inflation
print.
"The broad move was driven by rotation and switching across
styles and factors," said Chris Weston, head of research at
Pepperstone. "It was the well-loved names that saw the selling
and maybe this was partly technical given just how extended
these plays are."
Japan's Nikkei similarly fell 2.3%, dragged down by
technology stocks.
S&P 500 futures were little changed, while Nasdaq
futures fell 0.02% and EUROSTOXX 50 futures were
flat.
In other currencies, sterling eased 0.03% to
$1.29095, though hovered near a roughly one-year high hit on
Thursday, as comments from Bank of England policymakers and
better-than-forecast GDP data led traders to reduce bets on an
August rate cut in Britain.
The euro gained 0.04% to $1.0871, while the U.S.
dollar was on the defensive and languished near a one-month low
against a basket of currencies from the previous session.
Oil prices meanwhile rose in early Asian trading hours on
Friday as signs of strong summer demand and easing inflationary
pressures in the United States bolstered investor confidence.
Brent futures rose 0.4% to $85.74 per barrel, while
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 0.56% to
$83.08 a barrel.
Gold edged 0.07% lower to $2,413 an ounce.
(Editing by Christian Schmollinger)