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S&P 500 futures up 0.5%, STOXX 600 up 0.35%
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10 yr Treasury yield down 2 bps at 3.843%
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Euro below 13-month high, sterling pushing towards
two-year top
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Brent up 1% on day but set for weekly fall
(Updates at 1120 GMT)
By Alun John and Stella Qiu
LONDON/SYDNEY, Aug 23 (Reuters) - World shares steadied
on Friday, sitting just 1% shy of all-time highs, while the
dollar languished around one-year lows ahead of a speech by the
world's most powerful central banker which markets will peruse
for guidance on the shape of U.S. rate cuts.
Europe's broad Stoxx 600 index rose 0.35% after
Asian shares outside Japan had nudged down 0.1%, but Japan's
Nikkei gained 0.4% as investors digested inflation data
and remarks from Bank of Japan governor Kazuo Ueda flagging a
willingness to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation
turn out as forecast.
That left MSCI's all country world index up
a whisker, and with early August's turmoil in the rear view
mirror, it is now trading around 1% off its mid July all time
peak.
It could get closer to that milestone later in the day with
S&P500 futures up 0.55%.
The main event of the week, certainly for bond and currency
markets, is still to come however: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell's keynote speech to the Kansas City Fed's annual Jackson
Hole Research conference, which comes as U.S. economic data
gives the Federal Reserve the green light to cut interest rates.
Markets are fully priced for a 25 bp rate cut in September
and see a cut at each of the Fed's three remaining meetings this
year, and for one to be a larger 50 bp move.
The speech will be watched carefully to see whether it
challenges or underscores such pricing.
"The bond market is just focused on Jackson Hole and whether
the extent of rate cuts it is pricing in is correct, the equity
markets have a few other things to chew on," said Manish Kabra,
lead U.S. equities & multi-asset strategist at Societe Generale.
He said Nasdaq earnings, the U.S. election and the
tentative rotation out of large tech stocks were other things to
consider.
On the final night of the four-day
Democratic National Convention
, Vice President Kamala Harris promised to be a "realistic,"
"practical" president for all Americans.
For the bond market, expectations that rate cuts are coming
have kept U.S. Treasury prices supported and not giving back
their safe-haven gains from early August.
The benchmark 10 year Treasury yield was down 2 basis points
at 3.843% - it has only been above 4% for a very brief period in
August, after spending almost all of 2024 there.
Its German equivalent was steady at 2.24%.
The low U.S. yields have hurt the dollar, which has lost
ground on almost all major peers in August.
The euro was last at $1.1115, steady on the day
and just off a 13 month peak hit earlier this week, and sterling
was up 0.24% at $1.3125, battling to push through its
July 2023 level, which would take it to its highest in well over
two years.
The Japanese yen strengthened, with the dollar down 0.2% at
145.85 after Bank of Japan governor Kazuo Ueda flagged
an willingness to raise interest rates if the economy and
inflation turn out as forecast.
"The yen buying today is understandable given Governor Ueda
showed very little sign of a shift in the views and plans of the
BoJ following the financial market turmoil earlier this month,"
said Derek Halpenny, head of research global markets EMEA at
MUFG in a note to clients.
Data out early in the day showed Japan's core inflation
accelerated for a third straight month, but a slowdown in
demand-drive price gains suggest no urgency for any immediate
rate hikes.
Oil gained but was still set to end the week lower.
Brent crude futures were up 1% at $77.98 a barrel,
although they are down more than 2% for the week as swelling
U.S. crude stocks and a weakening demand outlook in China have
raised pessimism.
Gold prices are up 0.6% to $2,499.3 an ounce,
recharging towards its record high of $2,531.6 hit just on
Tuesday.