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Global stocks rally after Fed signals cuts
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S&P 500 trades near all-time high
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Dollar and Treasury yields fall
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Oil rebounds
By Lawrence Delevingne
Aug 23 (Reuters) - Wall Street and global shares jumped
on Friday toward all-time highs, while Treasury yields slumped
and the dollar languished, after a speech by U.S. Federal
Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed the United States would
soon begin interest rate cuts.
Powell, in remarks on Friday at the annual economic
symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, said "the time has come" to
cut interest rates as rising risks to the job market left no
room for further weakness and inflation was in reach of the
Fed's 2% target, offering an explicit endorsement of an imminent
policy easing.
"Powell gave the market just enough dovishness to support
the market while avoiding the potential pitfall of inducing
fear," Carl Ludwigson, managing director at Bel Air Investment
Advisors, said in an email.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose
1.14%, to 41,175, the S&P 500 gained 1.15%, to 5,634 -
near an all-time high - and the Nasdaq Composite was up
1.47%, to 17,877.
Europe's broad STOXX 600 index rose around 0.5%,
its highest level in over three weeks and clocking a weekly
advance for the third straight week. Asian shares outside Japan
had nudged down 0.1%, but Japan's Nikkei gained 0.4% as
investors digested inflation data and remarks from Bank of Japan
Governor Kazuo Ueda flagging a willingness to raise interest
rates if the economy and inflation turn out as forecast.
That left MSCI's all-country world index up
about 1.1%, and with early August's turmoil in the rear view
mirror, just above its mid-July all-time peak.
Traders increased bets for a bigger rate cut in September
following Powell's speech, with the fed funds futures now
pricing in a 37% chance of a 50 basis point cut next month, up
from about 25% late on Thursday. Traders are also pricing in
about 106 bps of cuts by the end of the year.
"The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace
of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook,
and the balance of risks," Powell said in his speech.
U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell
5.9 basis points to 3.803%, from 3.862% late on Thursday. The
2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with
interest rate expectations, fell 9.7 basis points to 3.9132%,
from 4.01% late on Thursday.
Its German equivalent was steady at 2.226%.
The dollar turned lower and sterling rose to its highest in
more than two years on Friday.
The euro gained to $1.1189, up 0.7% on the day,
hitting a one-year high.
The Japanese yen strengthened, with the dollar down 1.36% at
144.27 after the Fed news and Bank of Japan Governor
Ueda's comments on rates.
Data out early in the day showed Japan's core inflation
accelerated for a third straight month, but a slowdown in
demand-drive price gains suggest no urgency for any immediate
rate hikes.
"FX is a relative game, so the expectation for the Fed to
join the other major banks soon in cutting rates is driving the
dollar lower," said Uto Shinohara, managing director and senior
investment strategist at Mesirow in Chicago.
Oil prices jumped more than 2%, rebounding after losses
earlier in the week on swelling U.S. crude stocks and a
weakening demand outlook in China.
Gold prices added about 1.1% to $2,510 an ounce, near
the record high of $2,513 hit just on Tuesday.