(Updated at 1:38 p.m. ET/1738 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, March 15 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks
was set to snap a seven-week streak of gains on Friday, while
the dollar was on track for its strongest week since
mid-January, as recent U.S. inflation data has fueled a
reassessment for the path of interest rates.
Equities have struggled for upward momentum this week, after
readings on U.S. consumer prices and producer prices indicated
inflation remains sticky, dampening expectations the U.S.
Federal Reserve will cut rates by its June meeting.
Markets are pricing in a 59.2% chance for a rate cut of at
least 25 basis points (bps) by the Fed in June, down from 59.5%
in the prior session and 73.3% a week ago, according to CME's
FedWatch Tool.
The central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady at
its policy meeting next week but investors will be closely
monitoring the central bank's economic projections.
Data on Friday showed U.S. import prices increased
marginally in February as a surge in the cost of petroleum
products was partially offset by modest gains elsewhere,
suggesting an improving inflation picture.
"If the macro data continues to be strong and inflation
stays this high, why in the world would the Fed cut?" said Liz
Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York.
"Or if the Fed did cut in the face of that, then we run the
risk of overheating and seeing a re-acceleration in inflation,
and then it's like at the end of the story, nobody wins."
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell
230.82 points, or 0.59%, to 38,674.84, the S&P 500 lost
37.08 points, or 0.72%, to 5,113.38 and the Nasdaq Composite
lost 162.96 points, or 1.01%, to 15,965.57.
In addition, a survey from the University of Michigan showed
its preliminary reading on consumer sentiment and inflation
expectations were little changed in March while a separate
report said production at U.S. factories increased more than
expected in February.
The dollar index gained 0.1% to 103.48, recouping
most of the prior week's decline, with the euro up 0.02%
at $1.0883. Sterling weakened 0.2% to $1.273.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened
0.49% to 149.05, despite expectations the Bank of Japan is
expected to end its negative interest rate policy at its meeting
next week.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
fell 5.37 points, or 0.70%, to 767.28 and was poised for its
third straight daily decline, the longest streak since the start
of the year.
The STOXX 600 index closed down 0.32%, while
Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index fell 7.42 points,
or 0.37%.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was up
1 basis point at 4.308% after reaching 4.322%, its highest since
Feb. 23. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves
in step with interest rate expectations, rose 3.4 basis points
to 4.7254%.
Oil prices succumbed to some profit taking, following strong
gains this week amid sharp declines in U.S. crude and fuel
inventories, drone strikes on Russian refineries and an increase
in energy demand forecasts.
The oil benchmarks were on track to close out the week with
a gain of more than 3%, even as U.S. crude was trading
0.37% lower on the day at $80.96 a barrel and Brent fell
0.21% to $85.23 per barrel.