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Stock futures rise, dollar eases as inflation meets
expectations
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US dollar at one year high vs euro, three month peak vs
yen
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Crude oil, gold rise
(Updates throughout; refreshes prices at 1355 GMT)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Nov 13 (Reuters) -
U.S. stock futures cut losses, while the dollar retreated on
Wednesday, after data showed U.S. inflation continued to slow as
expected last month, helping firm up traders' conviction that
the Federal Reserve may cut rates again in December.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics said the consumer price
index rose by 2.6% in October, while the core rate, which strips
out food and energy, rose 3.3% - in line with forecasts.
U.S. futures rose after the numbers, turning modestly
positive, indicating the major benchmark indices could recoup
some of Tuesday's decline at the open later.
The dollar index edged lower, while short-dated
U.S. Treasury yields dropped, as investors piled into two-year
notes, which in turn helped gold modestly
extend the day's rally.
MSCI's all country world index was last
down 0.17%, with shares in Europe down a whisker after
the previous day's 2% loss.
"The in-line number is allowing the market to breathe a
little easier and to focus more on the positives of less
regulation, a potential increase in business," Robert Pavlik,
senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth, said.
"Right now, we're on the glide path to another rate cut.
It could get disrupted but right now it looks like we could get
another rate cut," he said.
Treasury yields fell sharply, with two-year notes
dropping to a session low of 4.256%, from above 4.36%
right before the data, as traders adjusted their calculations on
the likelihood of a December rate cut from the Fed.
Traders were placing a near-69% chance of a
quarter-point cut when the Fed meets on Dec. 18, compared with
around 62% earlier on Wednesday, according to CME Group's
FedWatch Tool.
Bond yields have soared since Donald Trump was elected back
to the White House last week on expectations lower taxes and
higher tariffs will increase government borrowing and push up
the fiscal deficit. Trump's proposed policies are also seen by
investors as fuelling economic growth and inflation, potentially
impeding the path to lower Fed interest rates.
But, analysts say, there is more to come as the Republicans
sit within striking distance of winning a majority in the House
of Representatives and with it full control of Congress.
"We are still in the midst of the repricing of the Trump
trade," said Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard Odier,
"there was this slight uncertainty around the House, but now
we're close to certainty when it comes to a Republican sweep."
STRONG DOLLAR
In currency markets, the drop in Treasury yields put the
dollar under a degree of pressure, but it remained near a
six-month high against a basket of major currencies..
The euro was last up 0.1% at $1.0630, still near a
one-year low, while the Japanese yen was also weaker on the day
but managed to claw beyond the 155 per dollar level to 154.615.
Commodities, which have suffered under the dollar's
strength and from concern among investors about the growth
outlook in key consumer China, also recovered some losses.
Gold rose 0.6% to $2,610 an ounce, recovering
from the previous day's near-two month low, while silver rose
0.8% on the day to $30.93 an ounce.
Crude oil also rebounded a touch after hitting to its
lowest in two weeks on Tuesday after OPEC
cut
its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and
next, highlighting weakness in China and some other regions.
Brent crude futures rose 0.4% to $72.15 a
barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude
rose 0.37% to $68.36.
(Additional reporting by Kevin Buckland in Tokyo, Alun John in
London and Sinead Carew in New York; Editing by Toby Chopra,
Mark Potter and Shreya Biswas)