(Updates throughout; refreshes prices at 0941 GMT)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, May 10 (Reuters) - Global shares rose to
one-month highs on Friday while the dollar held steady, giving
commodities a boost, after softer U.S. jobs data gave investors
confidence that interest rates will start to decline this year.
In currencies, the pound headed for a modest weekly loss
after the Bank of England (BoE) on Thursday paved the way for
the start of rate cuts as soon as next month, while data showed
the UK economy exited a mild recession in the first quarter of
this year.
The MSCI All-World index was up 0.13%, as
equities in Asia and Europe took their lead from a rally on Wall
Street overnight, after data showed the number of people filing
for jobless benefits for the first time rose more than expected,
suggesting the U.S. economy is beginning to slow.
But rather than putting the brakes on the stock market, the
numbers are giving investors confidence in the ability of the
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year, as central
banks in Europe have started to lower borrowing costs.
The STOXX 600 rose 0.9% towards record highs on
Friday, heading for one of its strongest weekly performances
this year. U.S. stock futures were up 0.4-0.5%.
"What could have been a crack in the overall market
bullishness appearing has turned into an opportunity to get long
again and that's what we're seeing now in May," David Morrison,
market strategist at Trade Nation, said.
Thursday's weekly jobless data followed last week's report
that showed U.S. job growth slowed more than expected in April
and the increase in annual wages fell below 4.0% for the first
time in nearly three years.
INFLATION AHEAD
Markets will be closely watching April U.S. producer price
index and the consumer price index out next week for signs that
inflation has resumed its downward trend towards the Federal
Reserve's 2% target rate.
Hotter-than-expected inflation reports last month quashed
any lingering expectations of near-term U.S. rate cuts. Markets
are now fully pricing in a cut only in November though there is
still a chance of the Fed moving in September.
In contrast, markets now imply a 50-50 chance of a BoE cut
in June and are almost fully priced for August. They also imply
an 88% chance the European Central Bank will ease in June.
BOE Governor Andrew Bailey said there could be more
reductions than investors expect, the latest sign of the growing
divergence between Europe and U.S. rate outlook.
Sterling was steady at $1.2534, having touched a
more than two-week low of $1.2446 on Thursday.
Traders currently anticipate roughly 45 basis points of cuts
this year from the Fed. In comparison, traders are pricing in 58
bps of easing from the BoE this year, while anticipating 70 bps
of cuts from the ECB.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
versus six others, was flat at 105.22, as the euro
held steady at $1.0784, set for its fourth straight week of
gains on the dollar.
The yen remains in focus after last week's
suspected rounds of interventions from Japanese authorities
totalling nearly $60 billion aimed at pulling the yen off its
34-year lows of 106.245 per dollar touched on April 29.
On Friday, the yen was last at 155.70 per dollar, with
Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki repeating Tokyo's
recent warnings that it was ready to take action against
disorderly currency moves.
Ben Bennett, Asia-Pacific investment strategist at Legal And
General Investment Management, said the Ministry of Finance
wants to avoid spikes in volatility which could negatively
impact domestic financial markets.
"So like we suspect a few days ago, they will intervene if
intraday moves become too large. But I don't think they'll push
against a steady depreciation, like we've seen since."
With the dollar taking a breather, commodities pushed
higher. Brent crude futures were up 0.4% at $84.19 a
barrel, while copper futures rose 2.1% to $10,105 a
tonne and gold rose 1.1% to $2,371 an ounce.