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Asian stocks follow Wall Street after Fed meeting
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Dollar firms against most currencies
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Yen weakens to 155.43 per dollar level after BOJ decision
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BOJ stands pat as expected
(Updates after BOJ policy decision)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, Dec 19 (Reuters) - Asian stocks slipped and
the dollar was perched near a two-year high on Thursday after
the U.S. Federal Reserve cautioned it would ease the pace of
rate cuts in the coming year, while the Bank of Japan kept rates
steady, as expected.
The yen weakened to touch a one-month low of
155.43 per dollar after the decision. The yen is down more than
8% this year against the dollar and is set for a fourth straight
year of decline.
The BOJ's decision comes as the yen hovers around the 155
per dollar mark, the weaker end of a 139.58 to 161.96 range it
has held this year while under pressure from a strong dollar and
a wide interest rate disadvantage, despite the Fed's rate cuts.
Investor focus will now be on comments from BOJ Governor
Kazuo Ueda to gauge not just the timing of the next rate hike
but the extent of hikes next year. Traders are currently pricing
in 44 basis points of BOJ hikes by the end of 2025.
Ueda is expected to hold a press conference at 0630 GMT to
explain the decision. Board member Naoki Tamura dissented and
proposed raising interest rates to 0.5% on the view inflationary
risks were building, but his proposal was voted down.
"The hawkish Fed dot plot overnight gave the BOJ an option
to increase rates, and there was one dissenting vote for a 25
bps hike, so it looks like rates will be going up early in
2025," said Ben Bennett, Asia-Pacific investment strategist at
Legal and General Investment Management.
The Fed's hawkish shift sent Wall Street lower and Asian
stocks followed suit, with MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan down 1%. Japan's Nikkei
was down 1%, while Australian shares slid nearly
2%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged more
than 1,000 points.
The policy decisions from the two central banks
underscored the challenge facing the global economy as the
biggest participant, the United States, comes under
President-elect Donald Trump's leadership early in the new year.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said some officials were
contemplating the impact of Trump's plans such as higher tariffs
and lower taxes on their policies, while Ueda highlighted
Trump's policies as a risk in an interview last month.
"The risks that are clearly inherent here, and left
partially unsaid, are what the Trump administration could bring
to the table in terms of inflationary pressure," said Rob
Thompson, macro rates strategist at RBC Capital Markets.
"If the market decides the Fed's done, whether it's
Trump or inflation picks up regardless over the next year, the
risk is that we could re-price towards hikes later on. Did this
tell us anything? Yeah. The market might still be a bit
complacent around some of these risks."
FED JOLTS MARKETS
The Fed cut interest rates on Wednesday as expected, but
Powell's explicit references to the need for caution from here
on sent markets into a tailspin.
U.S. central bankers now project they will make just two
quarter-percentage-point rate reductions by the end of 2025,
which is half a percentage point less in easing next year than
officials anticipated as of September.
"The Fed was more hawkish than we anticipated but today's
shift in policy guidance plays right into our view of a long
pause by the Fed at the start of 2025," said Prashant Newnaha, a
senior Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities.
"The most meaningful surprises were concentrated on the
inflation projections. They reinforce higher for longer is
back."
The shifting expectation of Fed rate cuts lifted the dollar
index, which measures the U.S. currency against six
rivals, to its highest since November 2022 on Wednesday. It was
last at 108.15 in early trading on Thursday.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
touched a seven-month high of 4.524% on Wednesday and was last
at 4.514%.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin briefly slipped below
$100,000 level after Powell said the U.S. central bank has no
desire to be involved in any government effort to stockpile
large amounts of bitcoin.
Sterling was steady at $1.25835 ahead of the Bank
of England policy decision later in the day where the central
bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, despite signs
of a slowing economy.
Gold was last up 0.8% at $2,609 per ounce.