(Updates at 0140 GMT)
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Asian stocks swung between
gain and loss on Monday as investors struggled to reach a
consensus view on China's economic stimulus promises made over
the weekend which, though broad, were light on specifics.
Minister of Finance Lan Foan at a closely watched news
conference on Saturday pledged to "significantly increase" debt,
but left investors guessing on the overall size of the stimulus,
a detail needed to gauge the longevity of a stock market rally.
"Most onshore investors believe Beijing's decision to
restructure local government and housing debt using central
government funds is more significant than many foreign investors
believe," said analysts at Morgan Stanley in a client note.
The divergence was apparent on Monday, after shares in Hong
Kong opened slightly lower and were choppy in early trade,
contrasting sharply with their mainland Chinese peers which got
off to a strong start.
The Hang Seng Index last traded a marginal 0.01%
lower, while the CSI300 blue-chip index rose 1.6%.
Property stocks onshore and offshore, however, eked out
solid gain as investors bet the latest stimulus measures could
aid China's beleaguered property sector.
The Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index
advanced 2.2%, while the CSI300 Real Estate Index
jumped 3.7%.
The mixed picture left MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan down 0.11%, after having
fallen 1.7% last week as the Chinese stocks rally hit pause.
Trading in Asia was thinned on Monday with Japan out for a
holiday.
U.S. stock futures similarly edged lower, with S&P 500
futures losing 0.1% while Nasdaq futures fell
0.25%.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures and FTSE futures eased
0.08% and 0.05%, respectively.
Also in a blow to China's growth outlook, consumer inflation
unexpectedly eased in September while producer price deflation
deepened, data on Sunday showed.
Reflecting the lingering concerns over the Chinese economy,
the onshore yuan slipped 0.11% to 7.0743 per U.S.
dollar, while its offshore counterpart fell by a
greater extent of 0.2% to 7.0828 per dollar.
Oil prices also fell by more than $1 a barrel on Monday on
worries about waning Chinese demand for the commodity.
Brent crude futures were last down 1.32% at $78.00 a
barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures
fell 1.3% to $74.58 per barrel.
Still, the latest raft of stimulus pledges prompted analysts
at Goldman Sachs to raise their real gross domestic product
forecast for China this year to 4.9% from 4.7%.
"While we have upgraded our cyclical view on the back of the
more forceful and coordinated China stimulus, our structural
view on China's growth has not changed," the analysts wrote in a
client note.
"The '3D' challenges - deteriorating demographics, a
multi-year debt deleveraging trend, and the global supply chain
de-risking push - are unlikely to be reversed by the latest
round of policy easing."
China's third-quarter GDP data is due on Friday.
Elsewhere, movement in currencies was largely subdued, with
the U.S. dollar continuing to draw support from reduced bets of
an outsized Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month.
Against a basket of currencies, the greenback hovered
near a seven-week high at 103.03.
Traders have priced out any chance of a 50-basis-point rate
cut from the Fed in November after data last week showed
consumer prices rose slightly more than expected in September
and recent economic releases have also underscored strength in
the labour market.
Sterling fell 0.13% to $1.3050 while the euro
eased 0.11% to $1.0923.
A reading on UK inflation is due later this week, as is an
interest rate decision from the European Central Bank.