SINGAPORE, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Asian stocks hardly budged
in early holiday-thinned trade on Monday, with investors nervous
as to how markets in mainland China would react to government
economic stimulus promises over the weekend which, though broad,
were light on detail.
Minister of Finance Lan Foan pledged to "significantly
increase" debt, but left investors guessing on the overall size
of the stimulus, a vital detail needed to gauge the longevity of
a stock market rally.
Chinese stocks have been on a tear since the government late
last month announced its most aggressive stimulus since the
pandemic, though some of that rally has since lost momentum as
investors await further details of the support measures.
"Having gone into the weekend keenly anticipating an
explicit China fiscal stimulus announcement at Saturday's MOF
briefing, the fact this was not forthcoming risks the market
reacting with disappointment at the start of this week," said
Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.
"Uncertainty over the overall extent of fiscal loosening and
to what extent there will be direct help for consumers will keep
markets on tenterhooks."
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was last up 0.12%. It fell 1.7% last week.
Trading in Asia was thinned on Monday with Japan out for a
holiday.
U.S. stock futures meanwhile edged lower, with S&P 500
futures losing 0.05% while Nasdaq futures fell
0.1%.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures and FTSE futures
similarly eased 0.1% each.
Also in a blow to China's growth outlook, consumer inflation
unexpectedly eased in September while producer price deflation
deepened, data on Sunday showed, increasing pressure for more
stimulus.
Reflecting the weekend disappointment, the offshore yuan
fell 0.2% to 7.0842 per dollar in early Monday trade.
The Australian dollar, often used as a liquid proxy
for the onshore yuan, eased 0.15% to $0.6741.
Still, the latest raft of stimulus pledges prompted analysts
at Goldman Sachs to raise their real gross domestic product
forecast for China this year to 4.9% from 4.7%.
"While we have upgraded our cyclical view on the back of the
more forceful and coordinated China stimulus, our structural
view on China's growth has not changed," the analysts wrote in a
client note.
"The '3D' challenges - deteriorating demographics, a
multi-year debt deleveraging trend, and the global supply chain
de-risking push - are unlikely to be reversed by the latest
round of policy easing."
China's third-quarter GDP data is due on Friday.
Elsewhere, movement in currencies were largely subdued, with
the U.S. dollar continuing to draw support from reduced bets of
an outsized Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month.
Sterling fell 0.18% to $1.3043 while the euro
eased 0.13% to $1.0922.
Traders have priced out any chance of a 50-basis-point rate
cut from the Fed in November after data last week showed
consumer prices rose slightly more than expected in September
and recent economic releases have also underscored strength in
the labour market.
In commodities, oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel on
Monday as the disappointing inflation data and lack of clarity
in stimulus plans in China stoked fear about demand.
Brent crude futures were last down 1.39% at $77.95 a
barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures
fell 1.4% to $74.50.
Spot gold eased 0.35% to $2,646.63 an ounce.