SINGAPORE, Jan 17 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied
natural gas (LNG) prices slightly declined this week, weighed by
healthy inventory levels in the region and weak demand.
The average LNG price for March delivery into north-east
Asia slipped to $13.90 per million British thermal
units (mmBtu), versus $14.00/mmBtu last week, industry sources
estimated.
"The slight decrease was attributed to weak demand in Asia,
as buying interest remained muted despite colder weather, owing
to healthy inventory levels," said Go Katayama, an analyst at
data and analytics firm Kpler.
"Going forward in Asia for the week ahead, we can expect
some bearishness in prices driven by balanced inventories and
average to warmer-than-usual temperatures across key markets.
The contract rollover to March deliveries is expected to further
pressure prices, as forecasts indicate a 50-60% chance of
above-average temperatures in March."
In the world's second-largest importer Japan, LNG stockpiles
held by major electric utilities were at 2.11 million metric
tons as of Jan. 12, down from 2.15 million tons last January but
above the five-year average of 1.96 million tons, data from
Japan's industry ministry showed.
Northeast Asian demand has also been muted as current prices
are too high for spot demand to emerge from price-sensitive
buyers in India and China, said Martin Senior, head of LNG
pricing at Argus.
"There have been at least six diversions in the mid-Atlantic
from Asia to Europe over the past week, with weak Asian demand
providing limited competition for Atlantic basin cargoes," he
said.
In Europe, prices rose on transit concerns on the TurkStream
gas pipeline, unplanned maintenance at Azerbaijan's Shah Deniz
field, U.S. sanctions on two Russian export terminals and
forecast of colder temperatures in northwest Europe.
"Winter demand has picked up and, as a result, both import
flows and stocks are needed to meet demand. Moreover, northwest
Europe has experienced... periods with no wind and no sun," said
Hans Van Cleef, chief energy economist at PZ-Energy.
"Demand for gas for power generation has increased."
S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily North West
Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for cargoes delivered in
March on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $13.73/mmBtu on Jan. 16, a
$0.25/mmBtu discount to the March gas price at the Dutch TTF
hub.
Argus assessed the price at $13.69/mmBtu, while Spark
Commodities assessed the February price at $13.664/mmBtu.
The U.S. arbitrage to northeast Asia via the Cape of Good
Hope for February widened, strongly signalling that U.S. cargoes
are incentivised to deliver to Europe over Asia, said Spark
Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan.
He added that the U.S. arbitrage to Northeast Asia via the
Panama Canal is also closed.
In LNG freight, Atlantic rates dropped for a second straight
week to $20,000/day on Friday, while Pacific rates fell to
$18,750/day, said Afghan.