(Updates at 0840 GMT)
By Harry Robertson, Sruthi Shankar and Ankur Banerjee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, Aug 1 (Reuters) -
The dollar rallied on Thursday after falling the previous
day as central banks continued to roil currency markets, while
sterling hit a three-week low ahead of a finely poised Bank of
England decision.
The dollar index, which tracks the currency
against six peers, was up 0.29% at 104.35. It fell 0.4% the
previous day after the Federal Reserve held rates steady but
opened the door
to reducing borrowing costs in September.
Chris Turner, head of global markets at ING, said
geopolitical tensions and a slowing global economy were likely
supporting the dollar, a traditional "safe haven" for investors
at moments of stress, even with the Fed heading for rate cuts.
"The geopolitical and the macro environment elsewhere in
the world isn't actually great," he said. "Obviously we've still
got some real tensions in the Middle East, and the manufacturing
sector is seemingly in recession across large parts of Europe
and in Asia."
Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh
was assassinated
in Tehran on Wednesday, an attack that drew threats of
revenge against Israel and fuelled fears of a wider Middle East
war.
The euro fell to a three-week low at $1.0782
and was last down 0.36% as the dollar picked up.
Investors' positioning ahead of a
possible BoE rate cut
later in the day was knocking the pound, spilling over to
other currencies and supporting the dollar, said Lee Hardman,
currency strategist at MUFG.
Japan's yen was roughly flat, with the dollar
at 149.87 yen.
The yen jumped around 1.8% the previous day after the
BOJ raised rates for a second time this year. It rallied 7.3% in
July, its strongest monthly performance since November 2022,
after starting the month rooted near 38-year lows.
Intervention by Japanese authorities to boost the
currency kicked off the move higher, combining with a narrowing
of the U.S.-Japan interest rate gap to trigger an unwind of
profitable carry trades, in which traders borrow the yen at
low rates to invest in dollar-priced assets for higher returns.
STERLING SLIDES VERSUS DOLLAR
The pound dropped 0.57% to a three-week low of
$1.2779 ahead of a knife-edge interest rate decision by the Bank
of England at 1100 GMT.
Traders think there is a roughly 62% chance the BoE
lowers rates from a 16-year high of 5.25%, according to pricing
in derivatives markets, similar to Wednesday and up from around
58% at the start of the week.
Sterling has fallen from a one-year high above $1.30 in
mid-July as investors' views on BoE rate cuts have shifted.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday stressed that the
central bank was also focused on keeping the labour market
healthy, adding new emphasis to Friday's U.S. jobs report for
July.
It is expected to show that employers added 175,000 jobs
during the month, a step down from 206,000 in June. Data on
weekly jobless claims is due later on Thursday.
Traders are now anticipating 72 bps of easing this year
. The Fed meeting "has bolstered market expectations
that bigger rate cuts remain likely, and will be heavily
influenced by how the economy progresses from here", said Charu
Chanana, head of currency strategy at Saxo.
In other currencies, the Australian dollar was
0.28% lower at $0.6518 after sliding 2% in July as it got caught
up in the unwinding of carry trades.