LONDON, April 3 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields were
little changed on Wednesday as data showed inflation in the
currency bloc cooled in March, leaving in place investors'
expectations that the European Central Bank will lower interest
rates in June.
Data showed
inflation came in at 2.4% year-on-year in March, after 2.6%
in February. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the rate
to stay at 2.6%, although individual country releases in the
preceding days pointed to a slightly lower number.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the euro zone
benchmark, was last down 2 basis points (bps) at 2.388%, roughly
where it traded before the figures were released. Yields move
inversely to prices.
"We already got the data from the big countries in the
past few days so it was pretty clear what the euro zone number
would look like, so it was in that sense already discounted,"
said Jussi Hiljanen, head of rates strategy at SEB.
"When it comes to next week's ECB meeting... probably
they're quite happy with market pricing and there's not any
compelling reason to try to steer markets in any particular
direction. So next week's meeting in that sense could be a
non-event."
Investors continue to see a rate cut by June as a near
certainty, according to money market pricing.
Longer-dated yields have risen in recent days as U.S.
economic data has come in stronger than expected, causing
investors to cut their bets on deep interest rate cuts from the
Federal Reserve this year.
Given the importance of the U.S. economy and the similar
path of inflation across the two economic zones, euro zone bonds
tend to track their American peers.
Italy's 10-year bond yield has risen more
than Germany's in recent days after outperforming in the first
quarter, and was last up 3 bps at 3.833%.
The closely watched gap between Italian and German
10-year yields stood at 143 bps, a one-month high, up from a
more than two-year low of 115 bps in mid-March.
Germany's two-year bond yield was 1 bp lower
at 2.802%. The yield is sensitive to European Central Bank
interest rate expectations and has risen 39 bps this year.
Investors were also waiting for more U.S. data on
Wednesday, including the ISM services sector survey and an
estimate of private job growth in March.
The ISM
manufacturing survey
came in stronger than expected on Monday, sparking a
sell-off in U.S. bonds as investors reconsidered their
expectations for a Fed cut in June. Euro zone bonds followed
suit on Tuesday, with Germany's 10-year yield rising 12 bps.
Friday's March U.S. employment numbers, also known as
nonfarm payrolls, are the key data point for markets this week.