*
US Fed holds rates, sees no hurry to cut
*
ECB, South Africa central bank decision awaited
*
Turkish economic confidence rises in January
*
MSCI EM FX off 0.1%, stocks flat
By Purvi Agarwal
Jan 30 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies were
steady against the dollar on Thursday after the U.S. Federal
Reserve said it saw no hurry to cut interest rates again,
amplifying prospects for persistently high rates in the world's
biggest economy.
MSCI's index tracking global EM currencies
was off 0.1%. Trading was thinned as most Asian markets were
closed for a Lunar New Year holiday.
The Fed on Wednesday held rates steady and Chair Jerome
Powell said there would be no rush to cut them again until
inflation and jobs data made it appropriate.
Markets have increasingly dialled back expectations of rate
cuts from the Fed in 2025, given the resilience of the U.S.
economy and the potentially inflationary impact of President
Donald Trump's policy plans.
The spectre of U.S. rates staying higher for longer, coupled
with threats of tariffs, has pressured demand for most EM assets
that appear risky compared to safe-haven U.S. assets, clouding
their prospects for 2025.
Most emerging Europe currencies were steady against the euro
ahead of the European Central Bank's monetary policy decision,
which is widely expected to be a 25 basis point cut.
"A mildly hawkish Fed should put some pressure on EM
markets," ING analysts said in a note, although they added that
"currencies appear to remain confident."
Over-the-counter data showed the Russian rouble
strengthened 1.3% against the dollar.
Elsewhere, South Africa's rand was slightly higher
against the dollar ahead of the South African Reserve Bank's
meeting, where it is expected to lower borrowing costs by 25
basis points.
"The SARB has been cutting rates slower than what we've seen
in the US. It still has room to move even if the Fed pauses...,"
said Shaun Murison, senior market analyst at IG.com.
"However, there's a lot of potential for inflation on a
global level with the new Trump administration. It is likely
that we could deduct a wait and see approach (at the meeting)
and maybe not see another rate cut this quarter."
Turkey's economic confidence index rose 0.8% month-on-month
in January, data showed. The lira was 0.1% higher
against the dollar.
Among equities, MSCI's emerging stocks measure was
little changed. Poland's main index was up 1.1%.
Philippine stocks fell to their lowest levels since
mid-November after the economy recorded slower than expected
growth in the fourth quarter.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Hong Kong central bank keeps base rate unchanged as Fed
holds steady
** Indonesia central bank assures balance of FX supply and
demand amid rupiah fall
** Saudi Arabia says GDP grew 1.3% in 2024, lifted by non
oil sector
For TOP NEWS across emerging markets
For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see
For TURKISH market report, see
For RUSSIAN market report, see