NEW YORK/LONDON, July 9 (Reuters) - The BlackRock
Investment Institute (BII) said on Tuesday that recent
parliamentary elections in Britain had made valuation of UK
equities attractive, while Japan stocks remained its favoured
equity investment play.
The British Conservative Party suffered a historic election
defeat last week with a record number of cabinet ministers
losing their seats.
"Valuation is very compelling ... and given the perceived
political stability leading to better sentiment, we think
there's a tactical opportunity for UK equities," Wei Li, global
chief investment strategist at BlackRock ( BLK ), said on Tuesday.
BII, an arm of U.S.-based investment firm BlackRock ( BLK ) that
provides proprietary investment research, said in a mid-year
outlook report that the prospect of higher-for-longer interest
rates made inflation-linked bonds attractive. On a country
level, Mexico and India should "benefit from rewiring supply
chains in the long term," BII added.
BII is bullish on U.S. stocks and artificial intelligence,
the report said.
"(Japanese equities are) our highest conviction equity view
thanks to support from the return of mild inflation,
shareholder-friendly corporate reforms and a Bank of Japan that
is cautiously normalizing policy, rather than tightening," it
said.
With regards to U.S. government debt ahead of the
presidential election, long-term debt prices are not
sufficiently reflective of the prospect of widening U.S. fiscal
deficits, prompting BlackRock's ( BLK ) preference for short- to
medium-dated Treasuries, said Li.
Both U.S. presidential election front-runners, President Joe
Biden and former President Donald Trump, are not prioritising a
reduction in government spending, which could lead to wider term
premiums, she said, referring to the compensation investors
require for holding long-term debt.
"Both of these candidates are not really talking about plans
that bring down fiscal deficits. They spend in different ways
but they're both looking to spend," she said.
"We prefer the front end of the curve, the belly of the
curve, over the long end ... because the U.S. term premium in
particular does not reflect that fiscal trajectory," she added.