March 20 (Reuters) - Asian bonds attracted their largest
monthly inflow in three months in February, helped by
expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut rates later
this year, and also boosted by the region's strong exports.
Foreign investors accumulated a net $4.41 billion of bonds
in India, South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand last
month, marking their fourth successive month of net buying, data
from regulatory authorities and bond market associations showed.
Demand for Indian bonds soared with a net investment of $2.7
billion, the highest monthly figure since July 2017, buoyed by
their impending inclusion in JP Morgan's emerging market debt
index.
"Rupee sovereign bonds are poised for further gains on
strong foreign inflows, largely frontrunning the upcoming bond
index inclusion," Radhika Rao, a senior economist at DBS Bank
said in a note.
"JP Morgan is due to start the inclusion by June 2024, and
extend over 10 months, with 1% increments on its index
weighting, till it likely reaches 10%," she said.
South Korean bonds attracted a significant $2.59 billion in
February, their largest inflow in nine months, bolstered by a
surge in exports, especially in the semiconductor industry,
which is anticipated to drive economic growth this year.
Thai, Malaysian and Indonesian bonds witnessed foreign
outflows of about $532 million, $249 million and $100 million,
respectively, on a net basis last month.
U.S. central bankers, unlikely to cut borrowing costs this
week, might reveal new economic projections that potentially
indicate a more gradual approach to interest rate cuts and a
later initiation of policy easing than previously forecasted.
"We expect prospects of Fed easing, Asia's improving export
outlook and favourable growth-inflation mix will attract inflows
into the region," Khoon Goh, head of Asia Research at ANZ, said.