(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock
markets, click or type LIVE/ in a news window.)
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Fed rate decision due at 2:00 p.m. ET
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Intuitive Machines ( LUNR ) soars after clinching NASA contract
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US Steel up as CFIUS delays Nippon merger decision,
sources say
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Indexes: Dow off 0.11%, S&P 500 edges up 0.06%, Nasdaq up
0.13%
(Updated at 9:45 a.m. ET/1345 GMT)
By Johann M Cherian and Purvi Agarwal
Sept 18 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes were flat
on Wednesday as investors stepped onto the sidelines ahead of
the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated first interest rate cut
in more than four years, with bets favoring a 50-basis-point
reduction.
Borrowing costs have stayed at their highest levels in over
two decades since July 2023, when the central bank last hiked
interest rates by 25 basis points to between 5.25% and 5.50% to
combat inflation. But the focus recently has been more about a
moderating labor market.
At 9:45 a.m., the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell
40.18 points, or 0.11%, to 41,560.69, the S&P 500 gained
3.11 points, or 0.06%, to 5,637.69 and the Nasdaq Composite
edged up 22.76 points, or 0.13%, to 17,650.82.
Nine of the 11 S&P 500 sectors traded flat, although
energy and industrials edged up 0.3% each.
The Russell 2000 index, tracking small caps which
tend to fare better in a lower interest-rate environment, crept
up 0.19%.
The benchmark S&P 500 and the blue-chip Dow
both recovered from an early August rout and are trading just
shy of their respective record highs ahead of the Fed decision,
expected at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Economic indicators over the previous one month have been
relatively mixed, making investors nervous ahead of the least
predictable Fed decision in years.
Following dovish commentary from present and former Fed
officials recently, traders are now pricing in 61% chances of a
bigger 50-basis-point reduction, according to the CME Group's
FedWatch tool.
Some analysts, however, caution that an outsized move
from the central bank could spook markets.
Bets for a smaller 25-bps cut have now slipped to 39% from
86% a week ago. Investors will also be watching for comments
from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 p.m. ET to gauge the
central bank's stance on the economy and prospects of further
rate cuts this year.
"It's been the first meeting in a while that you have no
100% consensus on whether it's going to be one
(quarter-percentage-point) cut or two," said Mike Dickson, head
of research in quantitative strategies at Horizon Investments.
"No matter what happens today, there's going to be some
people that get what they expected and some people that don't."
Stock
options are pricing
an about 1.1% swing, in either direction, for the S&P 500
after the Fed's verdict, according to options analytics service
ORATS.
Markets have rallied this year, with all three major indexes
setting record highs on prospects of lower interest rates as
inflation moderated and the jobs market showed gradual signs of
cooling.
Heavyweight growth stocks such as Apple ( AAPL ) climbed 1%
and Alphabet added 0.41%, while Microsoft ( MSFT )
slipped 0.57%.
Intuitive Machines ( LUNR ) jumped 52% after clinching a
$4.8 billion navigation services contract from NASA.
U.S. Steel rose 1.7% after sources said the U.S.
national security panel reviewing Nippon Steel's ( NISTF ) bid
for the U.S.-based steel maker let the companies refile their
application for approval of the deal.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.75-to-1
ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.26-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
The S&P 500 posted 16 new 52-week highs and no new lows,
while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 23 new highs and 21 new
lows.