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Nov. PCE at 2.4% on yearly basis, below estimated 2.5%
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Real estate leads S&P sectors higher
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U.S. House to vote Friday to avoid govt shutdown
(Updates to market close)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Dec 20 (Reuters) -
U.S. stocks rallied to close out the trading week on Friday
after two lackluster sessions as a cooler-than-expected
inflation report and comments from Federal Reserve officials
eased worries about the path of interest rates.
The latest inflation report in the form of the Personal
Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index showed a 2.4% rise in
November on an annual basis, just below the 2.5% estimate of
economists polled by Reuters.
Consumer spending increased in November in another sign of
economic resilience.
After the data, traders raised their slightly increased
expectations for Fed rate cuts in 2025, now expecting the first
one in March and another by October. Before the data, traders
saw a roughly 50% chance of a second rate cut by December 2025.
On Wednesday, the Fed announced its third interest-rate cut
of the year but forecast in its summary of economic projections
(SEP) just two 25-basis point cuts for 2025, down from its
September view of four cuts, in a nod to the economy's continued
health and sticky inflation.
The announcement sparked a sharp sell-off late on Wednesday,
which equities were unable to bounce back from on Thursday. Even
with Friday's rally, each of the three major U.S. indexes
declined for the week.
Also providing support were
comments
from Fed officials, with some acknowledging they were
starting to factor in fiscal policy uncertainty, such as
tariffs, in their outlooks.
"It's kind of obvious what's going on - it's just this
PCE plus dovish Fed commentary offset the market overreaction to
the hawkish cut that everybody was expecting," said Jay
Hatfield, CEO at Infrastructure Capital Advisors in New York.
"We've seen this like 10 times during this Fed cycle.
The market just always overreacts on one side or the other."
According to preliminary data, the S&P 500
gained 64.00 points, or 1.12%, to end at 5,931.08 points,
while the Nasdaq Composite gained 199.83 points, or
1.07%, to 19,579.63. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose 511.91 points, or 1.21%, to 42,842.13.
The Dow and S&P recorded their biggest daily percentage
gains since Nov. 6.
The Nasdaq snapped a four-week streak of gains, with the
S&P 500 suffering its biggest weekly percentage decline
in six weeks. The Dow saw its third consecutive weekly
fall.
Each of the 11 major S&P sectors advanced in the
broad-based rally, led by a gain of more than 2% in real estate
and buoyed
by a drop
in Treasury yields.
Small-cap stocks as measured by the Russell 2000,
which are also seen as likely to benefit from lower interest
rates, rallied more than 1%.
Friday's session also marks the simultaneous expiry of
quarterly derivatives contracts tied to stocks, index options
and futures, also known as "triple witching," which could
exacerbate volatility.
Markets were also monitoring the U.S. Congress as it
scrambled to avert a partial government shutdown before a
midnight deadline. Republican leaders in the U.S. House of
Representatives said they would vote on Friday to keep the
federal government operating.