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Futures up: S&P 500 0.12%, Nasdaq 100 0.22%, Dow 0.06%
May 13 (Reuters) -
Futures for the main U.S. indexes were slightly higher on
Monday, after several weeks of gains, as investors awaited key
inflation figures this week to gauge the likelihood of interest
rate cuts this year.
On Friday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite
registered their third week of gains in a row for the first time
since January, while the Dow posted its biggest weekly
gain since mid-December.
The indexes were also trading near their peaks, boosted by
stronger-than-expected earnings reports and signs of a cooling
U.S. labor market that fueled bets of one or two rate cuts by
the U.S. Federal Reserve this year.
Investors will focus on a spate of economic readings this
week, including monthly producer and consumer prices, retail
sales and weekly jobless claims.
The keenly awaited inflation data on Wednesday is expected
to show that core consumer prices rose 0.3% on a
month-over-month basis in April, for an annual rise of 3.6%,
according to economists forecasts in a Reuters poll.
"After upside surprises in the first quarter, markets will
focus on service inflation excluding shelter and energy
services," said Ronald Temple, chief market strategist at
Lazard.
"After core CPI increased by 36 bps in March, I expect any
increase of a similar or larger size to provoke a negative
market reaction while any material downside surprise will elicit
relief and raise the probability of additional Fed rate cuts by
year-end."
While Fed policymakers in recent days have reassured markets
that the next move is not a rate rise, the timing of the first
rate cut remains uncertain. Cleveland Fed President Loretta
Mester is scheduled to speak later in the day.
Traders are currently pricing in rate cuts of 42 bps from
the Fed by the end of 2024, according to LSEG's rate
probabilities app, with odds for a September rate cut at 49%.
Major companies reporting this week include Home Depot ( HD )
, Walmart ( WMT ), Cisco ( CSCO ) and Alibaba.
Of the 459 S&P 500 companies that reported through Friday,
77.3% beat analysts' profit estimates, according to LSEG data.
The long-term average is 66.7%.
By 05:37 a.m. ET, S&P 500 e-minis were up 6.25
points, or 0.12%. Nasdaq 100 e-minis rose 39.5 points,
or 0.22%, and Dow e-minis climbed 24 points, or 0.06%
Alphabet slipped 1.8% premarket as
Microsoft ( MSFT )-backed OpenAI looked set to announce its artificial
intelligence (AI)-powered search product on Monday. Microsoft ( MSFT )
edged up 1.1%.
Arm Holdings climbed 2.6% after Nikkei Asia
reported the SoftBank Group's-backed chip designer
plans to develop AI chips, seeking to launch the first products
in 2025.
Meme stock GameStop's ( GME ) shares rallied 21.2%, on top
of a 57% jump so far in May, while AMC Entertainment ( AMC )
added 6.9%.