NEW YORK, April 12 (Reuters) - Treasury prices rose on
Friday as investors grappled with revised expectations for
Federal Reserve rate cuts after hot inflation readings this week
and as geopolitical concerns spurred safe-haven buying.
Boston Fed President Susan Collins said she's eyeing two
rate cuts this year amid expectations it could take some time to
get inflation back to policymakers' 2% target, adding her voice
to other Fed officials who have recently pushed back on market
views for a quick cut to interest rates.
Collins' remarks followed a speech in which she said the
U.S. central bank is likely to cut its policy rate at some point
this year but that uncertainties and risks around inflation mean
the Fed needs to take its time before doing so.
Treasury buying also was spurred by dour results from
several large U.S. banks, including JPMorgan, the biggest U.S.
bank by assets, which kicked off the first-quarter earnings
season on Friday. Heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle
East also played a part, analysts said.
"What's happening today is a combination of worries about
geopolitical risk, especially in the Middle East over the next
several days," said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates
strategy at TD Securities in New York.
"A lot of investors don't want to be holding risky assets
heading into the weekend and there's a little bit of
disappointment on some of the bank earnings as well."
Treasury yields, which move inversely to their price, soared
on Wednesday after a hotter-than-expected report on the consumer
price index.
The two-year Treasury's yield surged past 5% on Thursday as
futures slashed bets on the number of Fed rate cuts to two and
pushed back the start of the easing cycle to September from
expectations of June.
Market bets on the Fed cutting its target rate in June fell
to 25.8%, down from 53.2% last week, according to the CME
Group's FedWatch Tool.
The yield on two-year Treasury notes, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was
unchanged at 4.892% while the benchmark 10-year note's yield
fell 7 basis points to 4.509%.
"Some investors are buying the dip, so to speak, and making
sure that they get in at these highly attractive levels,"
Goldberg said. "There's a lot of uncertainty as to what happens
next. A lot of investors are debating whether rate cuts are
still possible this year."
The difference in two- and 10-year Treasury yields, seen as
a recession harbinger when a shorter-duration yield is higher,
or inverted, than longer securities, was at -38.5 basis points.
The yield on the 30-year bond fell 5 basis
points to 4.611%.