March 5 (Reuters) - Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury
yields fell to a one-month low on Tuesday after data showed U.S.
services industry growth slowed slightly and as investors
prepared for U.S. jobs data for February due on Friday for
further clues on Federal Reserve policy.
U.S. services industry growth slowed a bit in February amid
a decline in employment. A gauge of prices paid for inputs by
businesses also fell to 58.6 from an 11-month high of 64.0 in
January.
"The services number is the area the Fed is more focused
on," said Ellis Phifer, managing director of fixed income
research at Raymond James in Memphis, Tennessee, adding that the
inflation and employment components "are some of the biggest
factors."
A drop in yields before the data also reflects investors
positioning ahead of Friday's highly anticipated jobs report.
"The market is repricing itself ahead of that number," said
Phifer.
Employers added an estimated 200,000 jobs last month,
according to economists polled by Reuters.
It will follow much stronger-than-expected gains of 353,000
jobs in January that analysts have said was likely due in part
to seasonal factors.
Traders are evaluating when the U.S. central bank is likely
to begin cutting interest rates as growth remains relatively
strong and inflation gets closer to the Fed's 2% annual target.
Testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell to Congress on
Wednesday and Thursday will be watched for any new clues.
Other economic releases due this week will include the Job
Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Wednesday.
Benchmark 10-year yields were last down 8 basis
points on the day at 4.141% and got as low as 4.112%, the lowest
since Feb. 8.
Two-year yields dropped 5 basis points to 4.554%.
The inversion in the yield curve between two-year and 10-year
notes deepened by 2 basis points to minus 42
basis points.
Fed funds futures traders see a 72% probability the Fed will
begin cutting rates in June, up from 64% on Monday, according to
the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.