NEW YORK, March 13 (Reuters) -
For the first time in over a year, the U.S. stock market is
in a correction. The question now is whether the slide is set to
get worse.
The benchmark stock index closed down more than 10% from its
February 19 closing high, meeting the widely used definition of
a correction. The S&P 500's slide follows a similar drop for the
tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index, which last week
confirmed it was in a correction.
The S&P 500's decline translates to a loss of about $5
trillion in market value from the February highs and marks a
sharp about-face in sentiment from the start of the year when
Wall Street was largely cheering much of Trump's agenda. The
index last marked a correction in late 2023.
Here is a look at how markets have fared, and what could lie
in store for investors.
MARKET CORRECTIONS
Stock market corrections are fairly common, with the S&P 500
logging a correction 56 times since 1929, according to a Reuters
analysis of data from Yardeni Research.
Of these, only 22 morphed into bear markets, defined as a
fall of 20% or more from most recent record highs, the data
showed.
Corrections, if they do not turn into a bear market, do much
less damage to markets.
Since 1929, corrections on average resulted in an average
peak to trough decline of 13.8%, as opposed to an average
decline of 35.6% during bear markets, the data showed.
Still, investors can take their time piling back into
stocks. The average correction lasts 115 days, Yardeni Research
showed. The current correction has lasted 22 days so far.
TARIFF TROUBLE
The Trump administration's back-and-forth tariff moves
against major trading partners like Canada, Mexico and China
have played a key role in dampening investors' appetite for
riskier assets.
Investors and analysts worry that escalating trade tension
could fan inflationary pressures and potentially stall economic
growth, raising the specter of a recession.
Uncertainty over tariffs has rattled investor nerves and
sparked worries that the so called "Trump put" - the idea that
counts on the president doing whatever it takes to keep the
stock market happy - has gone missing.
HAVEN HUNT
Investors have reached for a variety of traditional safe
havens in preparation for further market turmoil.
The yen, long considered a safe haven due to Japan's large
net foreign asset holdings and historically low interest rates,
has risen 6.5% this year, amid a broad-based selloff in the
dollar.
The price of gold, considered a hedge against uncertainties,
hit a record high on Thursday, having climbed more than 13% for
the year.
Increasing risk that the U.S. economy will stall has sent
investors seeking the safety of U.S. Treasuries. The rally in
bond prices has sent benchmark 10-year yields, which move
inversely to bond prices, to 4.296%, down about 50 basis points
since mid January.
Even within stocks, investors have gravitated toward
less risky parts of the market, with the S&P 500 Healthcare and
Consumer Staples sectors up 4.5% and 1.3% for the
year, respectively.
UNCERTAIN TIMES
Rapidly evolving policy has increased uncertainty for
businesses, consumers and investors, prompting a surge in
caution.
The U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index, which analyzes
newspaper articles with keywords related to economic and policy
uncertainty, along with tax code changes and other economic
data, recently jumped to its highest since July 2024.
Higher policy uncertainty bodes ill not just for the stock
market, but also for business investments and for consumer
spending.
On Monday, Delta Air Lines ( DAL ), slashed its
first-quarter profit estimates by half, and its CEO said the
environment had weakened due to U.S. economic uncertainty.
BEARS ROAR
Individual investor pessimism over the short-term outlook
for U.S. stocks is at a more than two-year high in the latest
American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment
Survey.
The change in sentiment has been accompanied by
institutional investors slashing equity allocations. Investors'
equity positioning dipped to slightly underweight for the first
time since briefly hitting that level in August, Deutsche Bank
analysts said in a note on Friday.
Meanwhile, the Cboe Volatility Index, an options
based measure of investor demand for protection against market
declines has jumped to a 7-month high of 29.57, compared with
its long-term median reading of 17.6.
WHAT GOES UP...
The "Magnificent Seven" stocks, which for the better part of
the last two years led the market's gains, have largely
struggled in 2025.
With investors becoming more risk-averse, seeking safer
investments, these tech and growth giants have experienced
declines exceeding those of the broader market.
The average "Mag 7" stock is down about 17% since the
S&P 500 peaked on February 19, with Tesla down about 33%.
With investors reducing their exposure to these once
high-flying stocks, this correction could prompt a change in
market leadership to other sectors.