*
South Koreans resume years-long trend of buying US stocks
*
Recent markets rout unlikely to deter Korean buying of US
stocks
*
Koreans hold Tesla the most, followed by Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Apple ( AAPL )
*
Retail sell-off in the domestic market biggest on record
By Jihoon Lee and Cynthia Kim
SEOUL, Aug 14 (Reuters) - South Korea's mom-and-pop
investors are defying last week's global financial markets rout
by pouring even more funds into U.S. stocks, a years-long trend
that analysts and investors bet will continue due to the
depressed value proposition at home.
South Korean retailers have been scooping up Nvidia ( NVDA )
, Tesla Inc. ( TSLA ) and Apple ( AAPL ) shares this
year fuelled in part by the worldwide AI-frenzy, a move that
comes despite government efforts to boost the domestic stock
market.
Sunny Noh, a 49-year-old who has been investing in Tesla
since 2020 and now holds about 85% of his financial assets in
the electric-vehicle maker, said he sees the recent market
plunge as a long-term buying opportunity.
"It can fall in a year or two, but it will rise again in the
longer term of 10 years," he said.
Retailers like Noh have been frustrated by the so-called
"Korea discount" of lower shareholder returns and depressed
valuations in the $1.8 trillion stock market, home to global
tech titans like Samsung Electronics ( SSNLF ) and SK Hynix ( HXSCF )
and automakers such as Hyundai Motor ( HYMTF ).
For South Korean listed companies, the last 10-year ratio of
dividend payment to net income, for instance, stood at an
average of 26%, lower than 55% in Taiwan, 36% in Japan and 42%
in the U.S., according to the Financial Services Commission.
Investors are even more disappointed that Samsung and Hynix ( HXSCF )
aren't in the forefront of the AI-boom. Shares of Samsung are
down 4% so far this year versus a 120% surge for Nvidia ( NVDA ). Hynix ( HXSCF )
has fared better, up 25%.
The past 10-year price-to-book ratio for Korean companies
sits at an average of 1.04 versus 3.64 for the U.S.
These numbers partly explain why retailers, popularly known
as "ants" because of their massive 14-million number and
capacity to act as a powerful collective force, have been
investing in droves in overseas markets for well over a decade.
Ants like Noh bought $9 billion worth of U.S. stocks between
January-July this year, after selling $2.8 billion in 2023 - the
first sell-off after three years of a U.S. stock investment
boom.
They sold a record-high 16.3 trillion won ($11.9 billion)
worth of domestic stocks in the same period, driving the KOSPI
down 1.3% so far this year when the S&P 500 and
Nikkei jumped 13% and 5%, respectively.
To be sure, foreign buying of Korean stocks between
January-July also rose to a record 27 trillion won, but they
accounted for 27% of average daily turnover versus 54% for
retailers.
FALTERING AMBITIONS?
The retail-outflow trends spell trouble for the Yoon Suk
Yeol's government-driven ambitions to boost depressed stock
valuations. A planned capital gains tax, slated for next year,
is also expected to discourage investors although Yoon has
promised to scrap it.
Oh Jeong-min, a 42-year old retail investor who lost about
10%, or around 100 million won ($73,012) from his domestic and
U.S. stocks during last week's market shakeout, says he has
recouped some of the losses and plans on buying more U.S. shares
"when the time is right."
"The kind of dividend payout and shareholder return trend I
see in U.S. companies is simply hard to spot in Korea," he said.
Noh and Oh are part of a group of eight analysts, investors
and government officials who told Reuters they expect the
fund-outflows trend to continue as an ageing population seeks
higher returns.
"We are aware of the trend and the objective of the Value-up
Programme is to vitalise investment among not only retail
investors but also institutional and foreign investors by making
the domestic stock market more competitive," an official at the
Financial Services Commission said.
In February, the government proposed a "Corporate Value-up
Programme", mirroring Japan's capital market reforms, which
includes tax incentives to attract retail investors.
Many analysts say the programme will probably have only a
modest impact due to opaque governance structures of South
Korea's family-run "Chaebol" conglomerates, where controlling
families usually pass down stakes to the next generation at low
market value.
"While in Japan, the mere directive from the stock exchange
to make improvements was apparently sufficient to effect change,
it is doubtful whether government persuasion alone will be
sufficient in Korea, at least for Chaebol groups," analysts at
Mondrian Investment Partners said in a note.
In early July, Elon Musk called South Koreans "smart people"
in an X post, after data showed Tesla was the top U.S. stock
held by South Koreans. Their holdings stood at $13.6 billion as
of end-July, followed by Nvidia ( NVDA ) at $12 billion and Apple ( AAPL ) at $5.1
billion.
"South Korea has become a remarkable market in Asia, with
the size of South Koreans' investment in U.S. stocks now
exceeding Japan's," said Seungyeon Kim, CEO at Toss Securities.
Oh, the retail investor, is betting on more upside for U.S.
stocks.
"There's no doubt that as an investor, you should choose the
U.S. market if you think long-term."
($1 = 1,369.6200 won)