Feb 14 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields were
little changed on Friday and set to end the week higher after
U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's
remarks.
Economists noted that Thursday's U.S. producer price index
painted a less alarming picture for underlying inflation
dynamics than Tuesday's consumer price data.
Fed Chair Powell said this week the central bank is in no
rush to cut interest rates.
Markets await U.S. retail sales data later in the session.
Euro zone data showed the economy is broadly stagnant.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the euro area's
benchmark, was up one basis point (bp) at 2.43%.
Markets are monitoring prospects for a peace deal in
Ukraine, which could boost the euro area's economy, and taking
comfort that U.S. reciprocal tariffs were not immediately
imposed.
U.S. Vice President JD Vance warned Russia that Washington
could hit Moscow with sanctions if it does not agree to a good
peace deal for Ukraine, while urging Europe to spend more on
defence as he arrived for the Munich Security Conference.
German elections are also in investor focus as a possible
reform of the debt brake could increase German bond supply.
"An election outcome under which debt brake reform appears
plausible would likely fuel cheapening pressure of German bond
yields versus swaps, with markets pricing in higher German
budget deficits and larger German bond issuance volumes down the
line," said Rohan Khanna, head of euro rates strategy at
Barclays in a research note.
"We think this type of price action would likely be most
notable in a scenario where a CDU-SPD coalition appears to have
won a two-thirds majority in the parliament, and to a lesser
extent if a CDU-SPD-Green coalition appears to be clearing the
same hurdle," he added, flagging that such an outcome is highly
unlikely based on current polls.
The gap between the interest rate swap and Bund yields
was at -2.5 bps after recently hitting -8 bps.
The most likely coalition, involving Conservatives and
Social Democrats, could struggle to agree on deep reforms.
Germany's 2-year yield, more sensitive to
European Central Bank policy rates, rose one bp to 2.1%.
Italy's 10-year yield was up 1.5 bps at 3.52%.
The yield gap between Italian and German yields
was at 107.5 bps.
Yield spreads between peripheral and core bonds have
tightened as appetite for risky assets was high, driving global
stock markets to record highs this week.