By Gary Howes
(Please note all GBP/CAD quotes are taken from the spot markets; your bank will subtract a discretionary spread when passing on their retail rate. However, an independent FX provider will guarantee to undercut your bank's offer and deliver you up to 5% more currency. Please learn more here.)
Signs that the UK economic revival could start to wane was enough of an excuse to prompt selling.
We await further data points before calling the end of the GBP rally.
It was revealed today that the Canadian unemployment rate rose to 7.2 per cent for the final month of the year, compared with 6.9 per cent in November.
Economists had expected the economy to add 14,600 jobs and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 6.9 per cent, according to estimates compiled by Thomson Reuters.
The Candian currency came under pressure even before the release of today's unemployment data:
"The CAD got battered by the contrasting Canada/US trade data earlier in the week (USDCAD rose 1.2% on the day) so the prospect of a combination of better-than-expected US data and worse-than-expected Canadian data, at least according to TD’s forecasts, suggests significant upside risks for funds today," says Shaun Osborne at TD Securities.
Osborne doesn't think this move up is complete yet and look for the above combination of outcomes to drive funds close to 1.10.
"In the event of the reverse—or at least in-line or better Canadian data, CAD shorts may feel a modest squeeze but weakness is unlikely to extend too far at present. We look for good support on any dip to the high 1.07/low 1.08 area today. As we noted earlier this week, the CAD sell-off seems justified on the basis of short-term spreads and fundamentals," says Osborne.