financetom
Canadian Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Canadian Dollar
/
Canadian Dollar Outlook Deteriorates: CAD Sold Agressively Following on From BoC Decision, USD/CAD @
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Canadian Dollar Outlook Deteriorates: CAD Sold Agressively Following on From BoC Decision, USD/CAD @
Mar 22, 2024 2:16 AM

By Will Peters

The Canadian dollar (CAD) is sold heavily following a decidedly bearish sounding Canadian central bank rate announcement that will see interest rates remain unchanged. The outlook for the Canadian dollar remains poor.

Latest: "Investors are selling Canadian dollars aggressively this morning on the back of the Bank of Canada's monetary policy announcement. While the central bank left interest rates unchanged at 1%, their growing concern about low inflation and desire to see their currency weaker has sent USD/CAD to a fresh 4 year high above 1.10." - Kathy Lien at BK Asset Management.

Run up to BoC Decision:

The only notable move in the CAD comes against the British pound which has powered higher on a surprisingly strong unemployment data release.

Markets are betting that the Bank of England will have to raise interest rates much sooner than intended - a pro-GBP scenario as rate yields are forced higher.

Some analysts are now forecasting a rise by early 2015.

A look at the forex markets shows:

The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate (GBP/CAD) is 0.5% higher than seen at last night's close at 1.8168.The euro to Canadian dollar exchange rate (EUR/CAD) is 0.03 pct higher at 1.4879.The US dollar to Canadian dollar rate (USD/CAD) is 0.08 pct lower at 1.0960.Be Aware: Our CAD quotes are taken from the wholesale inter-bank markets. Your bank will seek to affix a spread when passing on a retail rate. However, an independent FX provider will guarantee to undercut your banks offer, thereby delivering more currency. Please learn more here.

Outlook for the Canadian dollar remains poor

The outlook in the pound sterling vs Canadian dollar exchange rate favours the GBP overwhelmingly. An uptrend that has been in place since May 2013 looks to now be accelerating. At the very best, those looking for a stronger CAD rates vs the GBP can only hope for a easing back in the acceleration and a short-term corrective pullback to this climb.

The outlook for the Canadian dollar against the US dollar favours the USD. However, future direction here depends on the outcome of today's BoC event.

What to expect from the Bank of Canada

BMO Capital analyst Stephen Gallo tells us what he is expecting from the BoC today:

"We anticipate a ‘dovish’ outcome today, with the BoC stopping short of formally adopting any sort of easing bias.

"Under the base case, we expect a knee-jerk reaction higher in USDCAD. This would be before some fairly sizeable profit-taking sets in.

"Along these lines, rates and FX will probably conclude that the chances of some type of easing are a little bit higher today than they were a few months ago, but not high enough to swing the very front-end of the OIS curve into aggressive action.

"We see the top-end of the range in USDCAD under the base case at 1.100-1.105, and the bottom end of the range at 1.080-1.085. An ‘easing’ or ‘contingent easing’ bias today will probably bring 1.105-1.110 into view.

"Under this scenario, we’d raise the bottom-end of our expected range for the remainder of the week from 1.080-1.085 to 1.090-1.092."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Canadian dollar to pound sterling: GBP/CAD recovers as Canada steals the limelight for poor data releases this Friday
Canadian dollar to pound sterling: GBP/CAD recovers as Canada steals the limelight for poor data releases this Friday
Mar 22, 2024
By Gary Howes It looked as though the Canadian dollar was due a relief rally against the British pound on Friday morning after a poor UK data release. However, Canada then outshone the UK after releasing a surprisingly bad employment figure.In early afternoon trade we see the pound sterling to...
Canadian Dollar Forecasts Lowered at UBS, Pound Sterling Back in the Groove
Canadian Dollar Forecasts Lowered at UBS, Pound Sterling Back in the Groove
Mar 22, 2024
By Will Peters The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is under fresh pressure on Tuesday morning with a slew of forecasters predicting the currency is to suffer yet further losses.A look at the currency market place in early afternoon London time shows: The pound sterling to Canadian dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate is...
Canadian dollar (CAD) vs Pound Sterling (GBP): 1.80 Now Forecasted
Canadian dollar (CAD) vs Pound Sterling (GBP): 1.80 Now Forecasted
Mar 22, 2024
The pound sterling continues to advance against the Canadian dollar with the exchange rate now at levels last seen back in 2009.The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate (GBP/CAD) continues to head higher; at 14:44 in London we see the rate 0.42 pct higher at 1.7879. (Note: Our GBP/CAD...
Canadian dollar to sink further, Pound Sterling unable to extend gains in GBP/CAD
Canadian dollar to sink further, Pound Sterling unable to extend gains in GBP/CAD
Mar 22, 2024
The CAD suffered both from weak Canadian economic data delivered on Friday; today we hear that the outlook remains challenging.In early afternoon in London we see the Canadian dollar remains under pressure against the majority of currencies, but GBP/CAD is struggling somewhat: The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate...
Copyright 2023-2024 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved