financetom
Canadian Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Canadian Dollar
/
Canadian Dollar Drops on Inflation Slowdown
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Canadian Dollar Drops on Inflation Slowdown
Mar 22, 2024 2:17 AM

Image © Adobe Images

The Canadian Dollar fell against the majority of G10 currencies following the release of data that showed inflation in Canada was slowing faster than economists expected.

Canadian CPI inflation rose 3.8% year-on-year in September, said Statistics Canada, which makes for a sharp decrease from 4.0% in August and was below expectations for a reading of 4.0%. The month-on-month change stood at -0.1%, which was below expectations for 0.1% and 0.4% recorded in August.

Meanwhile, Core CPI was down 0.1% m/m in August (2.8% y/y), while the trimmed CPI measure was at 3.7% y/y, below the 3.8% expected by markets and 3.9% previously.

"With activity in the economy stalling in Q2 and Q3, excess demand appears to be diminishing, suggesting that inflation should continue to decelerate in the quarters ahead without the need for further interest rate hikes," says Andrew Grantham, an economist at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC).

The fall in CAD reflects the market's downward rerating on the odds of further hikes at the central bank: The Pound to Canadian Dollar exchange rate was under pressure heading into the Canadian inflation release courtesy of some softer-than-expected UK wage numbers, but it has recovered to trade flat on the day at 1.6617.

The U.S. Dollar to Canadian dollar conversion was up half a per cent at 1.3838.

Above: CAD performance on Oct. 17 following the Canadian inflation release.

"Markets have significantly reduced their pricing of the probability of an interest rate hike at next week's meeting," says Marc Ercolao, an Economist at TD Securities.

The report's headlines show that food price inflation continues to slow, falling back to 5.8% y/y, ensuring shelter inflation (6.0% y/y) has overtaken it as the fastest-rising component of the basket.

An increase in rented accommodation (up to 7.1% from 6.4%), was offset by deceleration in owned accommodation (falling to 6.3% from 6.4%).

Gasoline prices contributed -1.3% on a monthly basis, reversing the large 4.7% gain last month, suggesting the impact of rising oil prices has largely fed through to consumers.

"Today's inflation print is another small step towards tackling the last leg of the inflation battle. Core inflation measures, in particular, taking a step back are a welcome development after heating up for consecutive months," says Marc Ercolao, an Economist at TD Securities. "With today's inflation print, the BoC is now equipped with all relevant data before making their policy decision next week. Alongside other measures that have shown momentum in cooling in Canada's economy, we see enough evidence for the BoC to stand on the sidelines next week, holding the policy rate at 5.00%."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Canadian dollar to pound sterling: GBP/CAD recovers as Canada steals the limelight for poor data releases this Friday
Canadian dollar to pound sterling: GBP/CAD recovers as Canada steals the limelight for poor data releases this Friday
Mar 22, 2024
By Gary Howes It looked as though the Canadian dollar was due a relief rally against the British pound on Friday morning after a poor UK data release. However, Canada then outshone the UK after releasing a surprisingly bad employment figure.In early afternoon trade we see the pound sterling to...
Canadian Dollar Forecasts Lowered at UBS, Pound Sterling Back in the Groove
Canadian Dollar Forecasts Lowered at UBS, Pound Sterling Back in the Groove
Mar 22, 2024
By Will Peters The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is under fresh pressure on Tuesday morning with a slew of forecasters predicting the currency is to suffer yet further losses.A look at the currency market place in early afternoon London time shows: The pound sterling to Canadian dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate is...
Canadian dollar to sink further, Pound Sterling unable to extend gains in GBP/CAD
Canadian dollar to sink further, Pound Sterling unable to extend gains in GBP/CAD
Mar 22, 2024
The CAD suffered both from weak Canadian economic data delivered on Friday; today we hear that the outlook remains challenging.In early afternoon in London we see the Canadian dollar remains under pressure against the majority of currencies, but GBP/CAD is struggling somewhat: The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate...
Canadian dollar (CAD) vs Pound Sterling (GBP): 1.80 Now Forecasted
Canadian dollar (CAD) vs Pound Sterling (GBP): 1.80 Now Forecasted
Mar 22, 2024
The pound sterling continues to advance against the Canadian dollar with the exchange rate now at levels last seen back in 2009.The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate (GBP/CAD) continues to head higher; at 14:44 in London we see the rate 0.42 pct higher at 1.7879. (Note: Our GBP/CAD...
Copyright 2023-2024 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved