financetom
British Pound
financetom
/
Forex
/
British Pound
/
British Pound Trading Volume Very High Since Budget and Monday Mayhem
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
British Pound Trading Volume Very High Since Budget and Monday Mayhem
Mar 22, 2024 2:19 AM

Image © Adobe Images

Pound Sterling turnover on two major interbank currency trading platforms rose to three times its typical level during Monday's volatility and has fluctuated at higher than usual levels throughout the week, according to data collected and displayed by Goldman Sachs Marquee.

Volumes rose to eclipse turnover in the Japanese Yen during the opening session of the week after the Pound fell to a new historic low against the U.S. Dollar, leading to all-time lows in a range of other Sterling exchange rates.

Amounts traded came close to matching the turnover of Chinese Renminbi and were equivalent to more than three quarters of the volume changing hands in EUR/USD, the world's most actively traded exchange rate.

Above: FX spot turnover on EBS and RUT trading platforms from Monday, 26 September. Source: Goldman Sachs Marquee.

The above rank order of Monday's volumes covers FX spot transactions only and so does not include derivatives such as FX forwards and FX swaps, where trading volumes can be equally as significant, if not more significant at times.

These figures are based upon trades carried out through only two platforms, albeit two of the most significant, including the Electronic Broking System (EBS) platform recently acquired by CME Group from former owner TP ICAP.

The below image compares Monday's volumes to the three-month daily average and is taken as a proxy for what might be considered a recent norm.

The largest increases relative to the recent norm were evidently in the Sterling exchange rates GBP/USD and EUR/GBP, although Swiss Franc and Canadian Dollar transactions were also higher than what might be considered usual.

Above: Monday, 26 September. Source: Goldman Sachs Marquee.

Sterling trading volumes as measured above appeared to normalise on Tuesday but were back at more than twice their trend levels on Wednesday.

Similarly, Swiss Franc and Canadian Dollar turnovers were also high, although there was a more significant development in midweek trade.

This was the surge in Chinese Renminbi trading volume, which eclipsed even that seen in EUR/USD; typically the most traded exchange rate.

The data included above and below is published daily but with a one-day lag.

Above: Wednesday, 28 September. Source: Goldman Sachs Marquee.

All of these fluctuations took place in what has been a significant period for macroeconomic and financial newsflow.

While the implications may still be underappreciated, the UK government's spending plans and the financial market response to them are both well known, although the latest developments in China's currency policy may be less widely known and are partially summarised below.

"While USD/Asia may be close to topping out for the cycle, we wouldn't be getting aggressively short yet. PBoC's latest defense of the RMB is a case in point. The central bank has reportedly told state banks to prepare to intervene in the FX market on its behalf," writes Stephen Gallo, European head of FX strategy at BMO Capital Markets, in a Thursday market commentary.

"The scale of their firepower is credible, as the aggregate net foreign asset position of local banks reported by the PBoC turned notably more positive in 2021. But the rate of increase had already started to turn lower in Q2. It is therefore quite possible that state banks have been intervening on PBoC's behalf by selling foreign currency for some time," he added.

Above: Wednesday, 28 September. Source: Goldman Sachs Marquee.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
The Pound "Shouldn't be Haunted by the Ghosts of 2022" Says Deutsche Bank
The Pound "Shouldn't be Haunted by the Ghosts of 2022" Says Deutsche Bank
Mar 22, 2024
Above: Image © Pound Sterling Live, original picture by Simon Dawson / No 10 Downing St. On the eve of the UK budget, a Deutsche Bank analyst tackles the question of whether GBP investors ought to fear the return of the bond vigilantes and a repeat of the 2022 episode...
British Pound (GBP) LIVE: Sterling in Steady Recovery After Services PMI Delivers a Blow
British Pound (GBP) LIVE: Sterling in Steady Recovery After Services PMI Delivers a Blow
Mar 22, 2024
Last Updated: 07 April 2014 Updated: The British Pound (GBP) is stable as we move into the second week of April. Selling on global equity markets has seen some relief being enjoyed against the commodity dollars. Meanwhile, we continue to see consolidation vs the Euro and US dollar. This period...
British Pound (GBP) LIVE: Sterling Set for Fresh Bounce vs USD, Bank of England Risk Ahead
British Pound (GBP) LIVE: Sterling Set for Fresh Bounce vs USD, Bank of England Risk Ahead
Mar 22, 2024
Last Updated: 02 April 2014 Updated: Our Live coverage shows the UK pound to be in a period of consolidation at the start of April 2014. With the March PMI series missing expectations the GBP has found little by way of impetus. However, all eyes are on the release of...
British Pound Sterling Heads Sideways as Equity Markets Rally
British Pound Sterling Heads Sideways as Equity Markets Rally
Mar 22, 2024
By Gary HowesToday's Exchange Rates Below are the spot exchange rates as of the last update: Pound to euro exchange rate: Unchanged on a day-to-day basis at 1.2040.Pound to US dollar exchange rate: 0.01 pct down at 1.6390.Pound to Australian dollar rate: 0.36 pct higher at 1.8364.Pound to New Zealand...
Copyright 2023-2024 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved