financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
Mar 11, 2024 8:29 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The public's expectations around the longer-run trajectory of inflation deteriorated in February, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday.

While inflation a year from now was seen holding steady at 3%, respondents to the bank's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations said that they see inflation three years from now moving to 2.7% from January's 2.4%, with inflation in five years at 2.9%, from the prior month's 2.5%.

The rise in the three-year expected rate of inflation was the first month-over-month gain since last September, while the month-over-month rise in the five year was the first since last August.

The deterioration in longer-run inflation expectations is likely to unsettle Federal Reserve officials, who are now in the preparation phase for their March 19-20 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. While Fed officials are almost certain to hold rates steady at the gathering, many policy makers have said they expect to cut rates at some point later this year as inflation pressures have been moderating back toward the 2% target.

Fed officials believe that where the public expects inflation to go strongly influences where it stands today. They've repeatedly flagged the relative stability of longer-term expectations as a reason they are confident inflation will return to the target.

Officials have also warned the road to lower inflation will likely be uneven and bumpy. Some recent inflation data has proven stronger-than-expected, which may have influenced the recent round of expectations data.

Despite the shift in longer-run expectations some of the details of what the public projects for price pressures was more benign. Survey respondents said they see ebbing price rises for medical care and college while future food price gains were seen holding steady.

Respondents saw last month a decline in year-ahead rent price gains to 6.1% from January's 6.4%, the lowest reading since December 2020. Home price increases were seen flat at 3% and gasoline prices were seen rising only modestly compared to January at 4.3%.

The report also found that those who most strongly projected rises in longer run inflation expectations had at best high school degrees, while noting a declining overall disagreement about the future path of inflation.

Survey respondents in February held steady on their expectations for future income and earnings growth, while boosting their spending expectations. Respondents were a little more downbeat on job market prospects and said last month that their views on credit access had also sagged.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
New York Manufacturing Unexpectedly Contracts as Orders Decline, Survey Shows
New York Manufacturing Unexpectedly Contracts as Orders Decline, Survey Shows
Sep 15, 2025
10:23 AM EDT, 09/15/2025 (MT Newswires) -- New York manufacturing activity unexpectedly contracted in September as orders and shipments turned negative, a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey showed Monday. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey's general business conditions index plunged to minus 8.7 this month, marking the first negative reading since June, from 11.9 in August, the Fed branch...
Coltala eyes water 'moonshot' as booming Dallas-Fort Worth growth raises the stakes [The Dallas Morning News]
Coltala eyes water 'moonshot' as booming Dallas-Fort Worth growth raises the stakes [The Dallas Morning News]
Sep 15, 2025
Crises, it's often said, create their own opportunities and with a buoyant regional economy, North Texas currently has no shortage of the latter. Yet booming growth is running headlong into the reality of scarce resources primarily water. Unless something changes, current supplies won't be able to satisfy multiplying demand associated with the relentless buildout of data centers, a soaring population...
US Dollar Falls Early Monday; Focus on FOMC This Week
US Dollar Falls Early Monday; Focus on FOMC This Week
Sep 15, 2025
08:06 AM EDT, 09/15/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Monday as the focus turns to the Federal Open Market Committee's two-date rate policy setting meeting, which concludes Wednesday. Monday's schedule is light, with only the New York Federal Reserve's Empire State manufacturing survey for September at 8:30 am ET. Tuesday's highlights include...
Over half of US healthcare workers plan to switch jobs by next year, survey finds
Over half of US healthcare workers plan to switch jobs by next year, survey finds
Sep 15, 2025
By Mrinalika Roy (Reuters) -More than half of U.S. healthcare workers are actively looking to leave their current jobs, according to a new survey, underscoring mounting pressure on an already strained system. The Harris Poll, commissioned by education services company Strategic Education, surveyed 1,504 frontline healthcare employees and 304 employers between June 26 and July 21 this year and found...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved