financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
Mar 11, 2024 8:29 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The public's expectations around the longer-run trajectory of inflation deteriorated in February, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday.

While inflation a year from now was seen holding steady at 3%, respondents to the bank's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations said that they see inflation three years from now moving to 2.7% from January's 2.4%, with inflation in five years at 2.9%, from the prior month's 2.5%.

The rise in the three-year expected rate of inflation was the first month-over-month gain since last September, while the month-over-month rise in the five year was the first since last August.

The deterioration in longer-run inflation expectations is likely to unsettle Federal Reserve officials, who are now in the preparation phase for their March 19-20 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. While Fed officials are almost certain to hold rates steady at the gathering, many policy makers have said they expect to cut rates at some point later this year as inflation pressures have been moderating back toward the 2% target.

Fed officials believe that where the public expects inflation to go strongly influences where it stands today. They've repeatedly flagged the relative stability of longer-term expectations as a reason they are confident inflation will return to the target.

Officials have also warned the road to lower inflation will likely be uneven and bumpy. Some recent inflation data has proven stronger-than-expected, which may have influenced the recent round of expectations data.

Despite the shift in longer-run expectations some of the details of what the public projects for price pressures was more benign. Survey respondents said they see ebbing price rises for medical care and college while future food price gains were seen holding steady.

Respondents saw last month a decline in year-ahead rent price gains to 6.1% from January's 6.4%, the lowest reading since December 2020. Home price increases were seen flat at 3% and gasoline prices were seen rising only modestly compared to January at 4.3%.

The report also found that those who most strongly projected rises in longer run inflation expectations had at best high school degrees, while noting a declining overall disagreement about the future path of inflation.

Survey respondents in February held steady on their expectations for future income and earnings growth, while boosting their spending expectations. Respondents were a little more downbeat on job market prospects and said last month that their views on credit access had also sagged.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Supreme Court to hear Catholic group's bid for Wisconsin unemployment tax exemption
US Supreme Court to hear Catholic group's bid for Wisconsin unemployment tax exemption
Mar 31, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The U.S. Supreme Court is set on Monday to hear a bid by an arm of a Catholic diocese in Wisconsin for a religious exemption from the state's unemployment insurance tax in the latest religious rights case to reach the justices. The Catholic Charities Bureau - a nonprofit corporation operating as the social ministry arm of the Catholic...
Dallas Fed March Manufacturing Index Falls Below Expectations
Dallas Fed March Manufacturing Index Falls Below Expectations
Mar 31, 2025
10:36 AM EDT, 03/31/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The Dallas Fed's monthly manufacturing index fell to a reading of minus 16.3 in March from minus 8.3 in February, compared with expectations for an increase to a reading of minus 5.0. The Dallas reading is in line with most other manufacturing readings already released that indicated contraction in the sector. Despite the...
Goldman raises odds of US recession to 35%, predicts three interest rate cuts​
Goldman raises odds of US recession to 35%, predicts three interest rate cuts​
Mar 31, 2025
(Reuters) -Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a U.S. recession to 35% from 20% and said it expects more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as President Donald Trump's tariffs roil the global economy and upend financial markets. The brokerage also lowered the world's largest economy's GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 1.5% from 2.0% and projected three interest rate...
Mark Cuban Warns Of 'Red Rural Recession' As Hundreds Of Small Town MAGA Supporters Reportedly Lose Federal Jobs: 'Their Finances Will Be Turned Upside Down'
Mark Cuban Warns Of 'Red Rural Recession' As Hundreds Of Small Town MAGA Supporters Reportedly Lose Federal Jobs: 'Their Finances Will Be Turned Upside Down'
Mar 31, 2025
Billionaire entrepreneur and investor Mark Cuban voiced concerns over a potential economic crisis brewing in rural America, dubbing it the “Red Rural Recession”. What Happened: Cuban, in a post on BlueSky Social on Friday, warned of a possible recession in rural America, attributing it to the ripple effects of extensive budget cuts, layoffs, and the termination of grants and contracts, which are disproportionately affecting smaller...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved