financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
Mar 11, 2024 8:29 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The public's expectations around the longer-run trajectory of inflation deteriorated in February, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday.

While inflation a year from now was seen holding steady at 3%, respondents to the bank's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations said that they see inflation three years from now moving to 2.7% from January's 2.4%, with inflation in five years at 2.9%, from the prior month's 2.5%.

The rise in the three-year expected rate of inflation was the first month-over-month gain since last September, while the month-over-month rise in the five year was the first since last August.

The deterioration in longer-run inflation expectations is likely to unsettle Federal Reserve officials, who are now in the preparation phase for their March 19-20 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. While Fed officials are almost certain to hold rates steady at the gathering, many policy makers have said they expect to cut rates at some point later this year as inflation pressures have been moderating back toward the 2% target.

Fed officials believe that where the public expects inflation to go strongly influences where it stands today. They've repeatedly flagged the relative stability of longer-term expectations as a reason they are confident inflation will return to the target.

Officials have also warned the road to lower inflation will likely be uneven and bumpy. Some recent inflation data has proven stronger-than-expected, which may have influenced the recent round of expectations data.

Despite the shift in longer-run expectations some of the details of what the public projects for price pressures was more benign. Survey respondents said they see ebbing price rises for medical care and college while future food price gains were seen holding steady.

Respondents saw last month a decline in year-ahead rent price gains to 6.1% from January's 6.4%, the lowest reading since December 2020. Home price increases were seen flat at 3% and gasoline prices were seen rising only modestly compared to January at 4.3%.

The report also found that those who most strongly projected rises in longer run inflation expectations had at best high school degrees, while noting a declining overall disagreement about the future path of inflation.

Survey respondents in February held steady on their expectations for future income and earnings growth, while boosting their spending expectations. Respondents were a little more downbeat on job market prospects and said last month that their views on credit access had also sagged.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US trade deficit shrinks on decline in imports
US trade deficit shrinks on decline in imports
Dec 5, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. trade deficit contracted sharply in October as imports declined by the most since late 2022, potentially positioning trade to contribute to economic growth in the fourth quarter. The trade gap narrowed 11.9% to $73.8 billion from a revised $83.8 billion in September, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said on Thursday. Economists polled by...
US weekly jobless claims rise moderately
US weekly jobless claims rise moderately
Dec 5, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased moderately last week, suggesting that the labor market continued to steadily cool. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted 224,000 for the week ended Nov. 30, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 215,000 claims for...
Weekly Jobless Claims Increase; November Job Cuts Rise Sequentially
Weekly Jobless Claims Increase; November Job Cuts Rise Sequentially
Dec 5, 2024
12:15 PM EST, 12/05/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Weekly applications for unemployment insurance in the US rose, while continuing claims declined, the Department of Labor said Thursday. The seasonally adjusted number of initial claims increased by 9,000 to 224,000 in the week ended Nov. 30, according to the Department of Labor. The consensus was for a 215,000 level in a survey...
US Dollar Falls Early Thursday Ahead of Weekly Jobless Claims, Trade, Natural Gas Data
US Dollar Falls Early Thursday Ahead of Weekly Jobless Claims, Trade, Natural Gas Data
Dec 5, 2024
07:52 AM EST, 12/05/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Thursday ahead of the release of weekly initial jobless claims and international trade data for October, both at 8:30am ET. Weekly natural gas stocks are due to be released at 10:30 am ET and the Atlanta Federal Reserve is expected to update its...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved