financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
Mar 11, 2024 8:29 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The public's expectations around the longer-run trajectory of inflation deteriorated in February, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday.

While inflation a year from now was seen holding steady at 3%, respondents to the bank's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations said that they see inflation three years from now moving to 2.7% from January's 2.4%, with inflation in five years at 2.9%, from the prior month's 2.5%.

The rise in the three-year expected rate of inflation was the first month-over-month gain since last September, while the month-over-month rise in the five year was the first since last August.

The deterioration in longer-run inflation expectations is likely to unsettle Federal Reserve officials, who are now in the preparation phase for their March 19-20 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. While Fed officials are almost certain to hold rates steady at the gathering, many policy makers have said they expect to cut rates at some point later this year as inflation pressures have been moderating back toward the 2% target.

Fed officials believe that where the public expects inflation to go strongly influences where it stands today. They've repeatedly flagged the relative stability of longer-term expectations as a reason they are confident inflation will return to the target.

Officials have also warned the road to lower inflation will likely be uneven and bumpy. Some recent inflation data has proven stronger-than-expected, which may have influenced the recent round of expectations data.

Despite the shift in longer-run expectations some of the details of what the public projects for price pressures was more benign. Survey respondents said they see ebbing price rises for medical care and college while future food price gains were seen holding steady.

Respondents saw last month a decline in year-ahead rent price gains to 6.1% from January's 6.4%, the lowest reading since December 2020. Home price increases were seen flat at 3% and gasoline prices were seen rising only modestly compared to January at 4.3%.

The report also found that those who most strongly projected rises in longer run inflation expectations had at best high school degrees, while noting a declining overall disagreement about the future path of inflation.

Survey respondents in February held steady on their expectations for future income and earnings growth, while boosting their spending expectations. Respondents were a little more downbeat on job market prospects and said last month that their views on credit access had also sagged.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Correction: May Philadelphia Fed Regional Nonmanufacturing Activity Index Rises Sharply, Indicating Much Slower Pace of Contraction
Correction: May Philadelphia Fed Regional Nonmanufacturing Activity Index Rises Sharply, Indicating Much Slower Pace of Contraction
May 21, 2024
08:43 AM EDT, 05/21/2024 (MT Newswires) -- (Corrects headline to say index rises) The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's monthly nonmanufacturing activity index sharply increased to minus 0.6 in May from minus 12.4 in the previous month, indicating a much slower pace of contraction in the sector. The readings for new orders, prices paid, and employment all fell in the month,...
Redbook US Same-Store Sales Rise in Week Ended May 18
Redbook US Same-Store Sales Rise in Week Ended May 18
May 21, 2024
08:55 AM EDT, 05/21/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Redbook US same-store sales rose by 5.5% from a year earlier in the week ended May 18 after a 6.3% year-over-year increase in the previous week. Redbook noted that sales slowed down at the start of the week, though it improved later. Sales rose for apparel, gardening items and outdoor items as retailers...
May Philadelphia Fed Regional Nonmanufacturing Activity Index Fall Sharply, Indicating Much Slower Pace of Contraction
May Philadelphia Fed Regional Nonmanufacturing Activity Index Fall Sharply, Indicating Much Slower Pace of Contraction
May 21, 2024
08:37 AM EDT, 05/21/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's monthly nonmanufacturing activity index sharply increased to minus 0.6 in May from minus 12.4 in the previous month, indicating a much slower pace of contraction in the sector. The readings for new orders, prices paid, and employment all fell in the month, while the sales index increased. The...
How the Federal Reserve impacts personal loans
How the Federal Reserve impacts personal loans
May 20, 2024
April 30-May 1 Fed meeting On May 1, 2024, the FOMC decided to hold steady on interest rates. The benchmark rate remains at 5.25-5.5 percent. Most personal loans have fixed rates, so current borrowers do not need to worry about their interest rates changing. Borrowers in the market for a personal loan should prepare for rising interest rates, but there...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved