financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
Mar 11, 2024 8:29 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The public's expectations around the longer-run trajectory of inflation deteriorated in February, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday.

While inflation a year from now was seen holding steady at 3%, respondents to the bank's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations said that they see inflation three years from now moving to 2.7% from January's 2.4%, with inflation in five years at 2.9%, from the prior month's 2.5%.

The rise in the three-year expected rate of inflation was the first month-over-month gain since last September, while the month-over-month rise in the five year was the first since last August.

The deterioration in longer-run inflation expectations is likely to unsettle Federal Reserve officials, who are now in the preparation phase for their March 19-20 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. While Fed officials are almost certain to hold rates steady at the gathering, many policy makers have said they expect to cut rates at some point later this year as inflation pressures have been moderating back toward the 2% target.

Fed officials believe that where the public expects inflation to go strongly influences where it stands today. They've repeatedly flagged the relative stability of longer-term expectations as a reason they are confident inflation will return to the target.

Officials have also warned the road to lower inflation will likely be uneven and bumpy. Some recent inflation data has proven stronger-than-expected, which may have influenced the recent round of expectations data.

Despite the shift in longer-run expectations some of the details of what the public projects for price pressures was more benign. Survey respondents said they see ebbing price rises for medical care and college while future food price gains were seen holding steady.

Respondents saw last month a decline in year-ahead rent price gains to 6.1% from January's 6.4%, the lowest reading since December 2020. Home price increases were seen flat at 3% and gasoline prices were seen rising only modestly compared to January at 4.3%.

The report also found that those who most strongly projected rises in longer run inflation expectations had at best high school degrees, while noting a declining overall disagreement about the future path of inflation.

Survey respondents in February held steady on their expectations for future income and earnings growth, while boosting their spending expectations. Respondents were a little more downbeat on job market prospects and said last month that their views on credit access had also sagged.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Gold Reserves Top $1 Trillion–But Washington Math Is Stuck In 1973
US Gold Reserves Top $1 Trillion–But Washington Math Is Stuck In 1973
Sep 29, 2025
The price of gold surged to $3,800 per ounce on Monday, sending the market value of U.S. gold reserves past the $1 trillion mark—but on the government's books, it's still worth pennies in comparison. The U.S. holds 261.5 million troy ounces of gold, or 8,133 metric tons. That’s the largest stockpile in the world. At current market prices, this hoard...
Fed's Miran sees Trump economic overhaul driving down rates, others see a risky bet
Fed's Miran sees Trump economic overhaul driving down rates, others see a risky bet
Sep 29, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -New Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran's call for big interest rate cuts is based on faith that President Donald Trump's economic plans will quickly lower the rate of interest that would prevail in a healthy economy, something policymakers see as hard to estimate under the best conditions. It is an outlook that in Miran's view puts the economy...
Fed's Miran sees Trump economic overhaul driving down rates, others see a risky bet
Fed's Miran sees Trump economic overhaul driving down rates, others see a risky bet
Sep 29, 2025
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -New Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran's call for big interest rate cuts is based on faith that President Donald Trump's economic plans will quickly lower the rate of interest that would prevail in a healthy economy, something policymakers see as hard to estimate under the best conditions. It is an outlook that in Miran's view puts the economy...
US Dollar Falls Early Monday; Employment Report Key This Week
US Dollar Falls Early Monday; Employment Report Key This Week
Sep 29, 2025
07:53 AM EDT, 09/29/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Monday to start a busy week of economic data that concludes with the September employment report Friday, all the while the threat of another government shutdown looms ahead of the Tuesday night deadline. Monday's schedule includes pending home sales data for August at...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved