financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
NY Fed: Consumer outlook on longer-term inflation hit snag in February
Mar 11, 2024 8:29 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The public's expectations around the longer-run trajectory of inflation deteriorated in February, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said Monday.

While inflation a year from now was seen holding steady at 3%, respondents to the bank's latest Survey of Consumer Expectations said that they see inflation three years from now moving to 2.7% from January's 2.4%, with inflation in five years at 2.9%, from the prior month's 2.5%.

The rise in the three-year expected rate of inflation was the first month-over-month gain since last September, while the month-over-month rise in the five year was the first since last August.

The deterioration in longer-run inflation expectations is likely to unsettle Federal Reserve officials, who are now in the preparation phase for their March 19-20 Federal Open Market Committee meeting. While Fed officials are almost certain to hold rates steady at the gathering, many policy makers have said they expect to cut rates at some point later this year as inflation pressures have been moderating back toward the 2% target.

Fed officials believe that where the public expects inflation to go strongly influences where it stands today. They've repeatedly flagged the relative stability of longer-term expectations as a reason they are confident inflation will return to the target.

Officials have also warned the road to lower inflation will likely be uneven and bumpy. Some recent inflation data has proven stronger-than-expected, which may have influenced the recent round of expectations data.

Despite the shift in longer-run expectations some of the details of what the public projects for price pressures was more benign. Survey respondents said they see ebbing price rises for medical care and college while future food price gains were seen holding steady.

Respondents saw last month a decline in year-ahead rent price gains to 6.1% from January's 6.4%, the lowest reading since December 2020. Home price increases were seen flat at 3% and gasoline prices were seen rising only modestly compared to January at 4.3%.

The report also found that those who most strongly projected rises in longer run inflation expectations had at best high school degrees, while noting a declining overall disagreement about the future path of inflation.

Survey respondents in February held steady on their expectations for future income and earnings growth, while boosting their spending expectations. Respondents were a little more downbeat on job market prospects and said last month that their views on credit access had also sagged.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Zerodha’s Nithin Kamath has figured why the financial year starts in April
Zerodha’s Nithin Kamath has figured why the financial year starts in April
Feb 19, 2022
Nithin Kamath, co-founder of Zerodha, in an interesting tweet informed his followers on why the financial year begins in April. Kamath posted a picture from his six-year-old son’s history factbook which spoke about the switch from the Julian to the Gregorian calendar in England and its colonies in the year 1752.
Better coordination among enforcement agencies leading to major seizures: CBIC member
Better coordination among enforcement agencies leading to major seizures: CBIC member
Feb 11, 2022
The government has always been committed to combating the menace of smuggling and has institutionalized coordination between agencies, which has helped in generating volumes of information that are not only timely but also accurate leading to major seizures, Central Board of Indirect Taxes and Customs (CBIC) member Balesh Kumar said at the Anti-Smuggling Day launch event, organized by Ficci CASCADE.
India-UAE trade pact may benefit $26 billion worth of domestic goods subjected to 5% duty
India-UAE trade pact may benefit $26 billion worth of domestic goods subjected to 5% duty
Feb 20, 2022
"With duty-free tariffs, India can cater to the hospital segment of the UAE through institutional selling of home textiles like bed and bath linen as well as contract textiles beach towels, salon and spa linen etc," the official said.
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman asks banks to be more customer-friendly
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman asks banks to be more customer-friendly
Feb 21, 2022
At a meeting between industry representatives and the finance minister, Sitharaman had a few suggestions for the banking community and also spoke out against their attitude. "Banks will have to be a lot more customer-friendly. Not to the extent of taking adverse risks which you don't need to take, but you need to be a lot more friendly to customers," the minister said.
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved