financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Global Investors Ready to Buy USD/JPY and Test Tokyo's Mettle, Says BofA Global Research
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Global Investors Ready to Buy USD/JPY and Test Tokyo's Mettle, Says BofA Global Research
Apr 26, 2024 5:49 AM

08:42 AM EDT, 04/26/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Investors are now more enthusiastic about buying USD/JPY after sitting out its rally for much of the last two years, according to BofA Global Research strategists, even if this means going toe-to-toe with Japan's Ministry of Finance.

"Most investors missed the amazing USD/JPY rally of the last two years, because they never liked the level as it kept rising," BofA strategists told clients on Friday.

"They will buy after an intervention dip, and they will keep testing and pushing the level upward as long as the MoF is not intervening," the strategists wrote in a note.

BofA said this creates an "impossible situation" for the Bank of Japan, but one that is entirely consistent with the relative stance of monetary policies in Tokyo and Washington.

Overnight volatility suggests this battle of wills might already have been playing out in the market on Friday when another rally in USD/JPY was interrupted twice by unusually large albeit momentary sell-offs.

USD/JPY leapt above the psychologically important 156 level after the BoJ left its interest rate unchanged at 0.1% and maintained its earlier forward guidance suggesting it will continue to maintain an accommodative stance going forward.

The pair traded as high as 156.82 before being beaten back to 154.95 in a matter of minutes shortly after the London open with similar but smaller moves around the European mid-day. Both instances are clearly visible on intraday charts.

"If the aforementioned outlook for economic activity and prices will be realized and underlying inflation will increase, the Bank will adjust the degree of monetary accommodation, while it anticipates that accommodative financial conditions will be maintained for the time being," BoJ said in its latest outlook report.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US business spending on equipment on solid ground before Iran war
US business spending on equipment on solid ground before Iran war
Apr 7, 2026
WASHINGTON, April 7 (Reuters) - New orders for key U.S.-manufactured capital goods increased more than expected in February while shipments of those products rose solidly, suggesting business spending on equipment was on firmer footing before the war with Iran. The strength reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday followed weakness in January, which some economists had blamed on harsh weather....
US core capital goods orders increase in February
US core capital goods orders increase in February
Apr 7, 2026
WASHINGTON, April 7(Reuters) - New orders for key U.S.-manufactured capital goods increased more than expected in February, but data for the prior month was revised sharply lower, suggesting some moderation in business spending on equipment in the first quarter. Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending, rose 0.6% after a downwardly revised 0.4% drop...
Fed's Williams says Middle East war will drive up inflation - Bloomberg
Fed's Williams says Middle East war will drive up inflation - Bloomberg
Apr 7, 2026
April 7 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said Tuesday the Middle East war energy shock will drive up overall inflation over the course of this year, while reiterating monetary policy is in the right place to deal with what happens in the economy. The war impact will directly go into headline inflation because energy...
Iran War may boost inflation, but not expectations, per Dallas Fed research
Iran War may boost inflation, but not expectations, per Dallas Fed research
Apr 7, 2026
April 7 (Reuters) - An extended disruption of the world's oil trade from the Iran War could lift headline U.S. inflation to well over 4% by year-end, with even bigger increases possible in the short-term, fresh research from the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank suggests.  The effect on inflation expectations looks likely to be modest in the short-term and negligible in...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved