By Yoruk Bahceli and Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Sterling rallied sharply on
Thursday, solidifying its position as the best performing major
currency of 2024, while UK-focussed stocks rose, after the Bank
of England cut rates, but indicated future cuts may be more
gradual than many had thought.
The BoE, which delivered its second rate cut since 2020,
said that after Labour Party finance minister Rachel Reeves'
high-tax, high-spend budget last week, it expected higher
inflation and growth.
London-listed shares of mid-sized companies touched session
highs, while UK government bonds headed for their best
one-day performance in almost a month, reflecting investor
demand for sterling-denominated assets.
Sterling rose by as much as 0.68% to $1.2967 after the
decision, while two-year gilt yields fell 3 basis
points to 4.482%, as bond prices rose.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 8-1 to cut rates
to 4.75% from 5%, a stronger majority than expectations in a
Reuters poll for a 7-2 vote in favour of a cut.
The BoE predicted last week's budget, which contained big
increases in tax, spending and borrowing - would boost the size
of Britain's economy by around 0.75% next year but barely
improve annual growth rates in two or three years' time.
It said the budget was likely to add just under half a
percentage point to the rate of inflation at its peak in just
over two years' time, causing inflation to take a year longer to
return sustainably to its 2% target.
Right now, money markets show traders believe UK rates could
fall by just over half a percent next year - something
economists and analysts believe is too tame, given the BoE's
predictions predate the rise in gilt yields and the shift in
market borrowing rates following the budget.
"Remember, markets are pricing fewer than three rate cuts
from here on in," James Smith, developed markets economist - UK,
at ING said.
"We don't think that sounds particularly realistic. Our view
is that rate cuts will be cut at every meeting from February
until rates reach 3.25% next autumn."
British inflation has proven far more stubborn than that in
other developed nations, particularly where wages and the
services sector are concerned.
As such, UK rates remaining higher for longer and then
falling more slowly than elsewhere has been a key driver of
sterling strength this year.
The pound is the best-performing major currency against the
dollar this year, up nearly 2% with Thursday's rally.
(Additional reporting by Samuel Indyk; Editing by Alun John and
Dhara Ranasinghe)