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Tariff threats on Venezuelan oil buyers remain supportive
of
prices
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Markets mixed on impact of Trump auto tariffs
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Prices seen unlikely to return to early 2025 highs, some
analysts say
(Updates prices, adds analyst quotes)
By Katya Golubkova and Trixie Yap
March 27 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged lower on Thursday
as markets weighed the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's
auto tariffs at a time when concerns swirled about global supply
due to U.S. tariff threats on buyers of Venezuelan oil and
sanctions on Iran's oil clients.
Brent crude futures fell 22 cents, or 0.3%, to
$73.57 a barrel by 0733 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude
futures slipped 23 cents, or 0.3%, to $69.42. Both
benchmarks were initially up in early Asian trade.
On Wednesday, oil prices rose by around 1% on government
data showing U.S. crude oil and fuel inventories fell last week,
and on the U.S. threat of tariffs on nations buying Venezuelan
crude.
"The recent (price) uptrend seems to be factoring in the
noise around tariffs for buyers of Venezuelan oil. We have
maintained that Trump's policies on Iran and Venezuela present
the biggest upside risk for oil prices, so that is kind of
partially playing out currently," said DBS Bank's energy sector
team lead Suvro Sarkar.
India's Reliance Industries, operator of the
world's biggest refining complex, will halt Venezuelan oil
imports following the tariff announcement, sources said on
Wednesday.
Sarkar said, however, DBS does not see prices returning to
the higher levels seen in early 2025 as demand concerns stemming
from "U.S. policy uncertainty and tariff wars will come back to
haunt the market at some point again".
Concerns about an OPEC+ supply hike in May may weigh on the
market slightly, some analysts said.
From a technical analysis standpoint, the key price
resistance to watch on WTI will be between $73.50 and $74.00 per
barrel, and the 200-day moving average, where the bullish
pressure may pause given that OPEC+ is still looking to hike
output in May, said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.
China's Purchasing Managers' Index data is likely to take
center stage to exert some influence on oil prices in the next
week, he added.
Traders and investors were also assessing the impact on oil
demand from Trump's latest announcement of a 25% tariff on
imported cars and light trucks from next week. The view was that
it could drive auto prices up, potentially impacting demand for
oil, but also slow down the switch to greener cars.
"The news around Trump's tariffs on autos may actually turn
out to be a net positive for crude oil because the rise in new
car prices from tariffs will mean it slows down the switch to
newer, more fuel-efficient models," said Tony Sycamore, a market
analyst at IG.
(Reporting by Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Trixie Yap in
Singapore; Editing by Sonali Paul and Muralikumar Anantharaman)