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A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
The 25% U.S. tariff announced for auto imports is raising a
ruckus across the globe, from Tokyo and Seoul to Wolfsburg to
Detroit, as car makers warn of price hikes and ponder shifting
their manufacturing base to deal with the upheaval.
The shares of Japanese and South Korean automakers - pillars
of the two powerhouse Asian economies - sank on Friday in a
brutal end to the week.
Almost 3 trillion yen ($20 billion) has been wiped from the
market value of Japan's top three carmakers - Toyota ( TM ),
Honda ( HMC ) and Nissan ( NSANF ) - in three trading sessions
this week.
Futures suggest European markets are looking at a dour
Friday with the region's automakers stuck in the spotlight. The
European automobiles and parts index was at its lowest
level since early December and is poised for a sixth straight
week in the red.
U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariff salvo has drawn
fierce criticism from politicians and industry executives across
the globe. Wolfsburg, Germany-based Volkswagen said
the entire automotive industry as well as customers will have to
"bear the negative consequences".
It's decision time for car makers, who must now determine
whether to localise more production in the U.S., swallow the
costs of tariffs, or pass those costs on to consumers.
Volvo Cars, Volkswagen's Audi, Mercedes-Benz
and Hyundai have already said they will relocate
portions of their production.
Ferrari, which makes all of its cars in Italy,
said it would raise prices of some models by as much as 10%.
It seems that all big automakers are facing an uncertain
future. Well, almost all. Shares of Texas-based EV maker Tesla
largely shrugged off the worries, as its production for
the U.S. market largely comes from domestic plants, with less
reliance than other automakers on foreign-made parts.
Investor attention is now turning to the reciprocal U.S.
tariffs to be announced next week, with markets latching onto
Trump's suggestion that the levies might be lenient. That leaves
a lot of room for a surprise - either pleasant or nasty.
Amidst all this gloom, the rally in gold prices is showing
no signs of letting up, cracking through yet another record high
on safe-haven flows. Gold has stayed comfortably above $3,000
per ounce since breaching that threshold in mid-March.
The yellow metal has risen more than 17% in the
January-March period, on course for its best quarterly
performance since 1986.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
Economic events: UK GDP data for Q4, UK retail sales for
February, France inflation data for March, Germany labour data
for March, euro zone sentiment survey data for March