A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
With the Federal Reserve's policy meeting out of the way,
the central bank spotlight now turns to some of its European
counterparts - the Bank of England, the Swiss National Bank and
the Riksbank - with rate decisions due later today.
The BoE, at centre stage, is widely expected to keep rates
on hold as it monitors the economic impact of U.S. President
Donald Trump's tariff onslaught and the British government's
imminent tax hike for employers.
With UK inflation stuck stubbornly above its 2% target, the
BoE has cut borrowing costs by less than the European Central
Bank and the Fed since last summer, contributing to the
country's sluggish growth rate.
Ahead of that, investors will get UK wage data to chew on.
Expectations are for pay growth across the whole economy,
excluding bonuses, to have held steady at an annual 5.9% rate in
the three months to January.
The Riksbank is similarly expected to stand pat on rates on
Thursday, while economists see the SNB cutting its main policy
rate by a quarter percentage point and holding it there until at
least 2026.
Trump weighed in on Fed policy on Wednesday, saying the
central bank would be better off cutting rates "as U.S. tariffs
start to transition (ease!) their way into the economy", just
hours after it left rates unchanged.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the Trump administration's
initial policies, including extensive import tariffs, appear to
have tilted the U.S. economy towards slower growth and at least
temporarily higher inflation, even as policymakers still
projected two rate cuts this year.
Despite the risks to the U.S. economic outlook, investors
chose to latch on to the prospect of further Fed easing ahead,
sending stocks in Asia higher on Thursday.
Europe, meanwhile, looked set for a mixed open, with
EUROSTOXX 50 futures up 0.07% but FTSE futures
down 0.14%.
Geopolitics also remained prominent on investors' radar.
Israel's military said it intercepted a missile launched
from Yemen early on Thursday as hostilities with the Houthis
intensified. Trump has threatened to punish Iran over its
perceived support for the Yemeni militant group.
The escalation of tensions in the Middle East sent oil
prices higher on Thursday, with Brent crude futures up
0.55% and U.S. crude futures gaining 0.46%.
But capping those gains was the prospect of a return of
Russian supply to the market, after Ukrainian President
Volodymyr Zelenskiy said a halt to energy strikes in the war
with Russia could be established quickly.
Trump and Zelenskiy agreed on Wednesday to work together to
end Russia's war with Ukraine, in what the White House described
as a "fantastic" one-hour phone call.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
- Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Riksbank policy
decisions
- UK wage data (January)