A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Kevin Buckland
The tone in the equities markets was decidedly feeble as the
week came to an end, with Chinese markets getting very
little help from GDP figures that topped estimates to hit
Beijing's 2024 growth target bang on at 5%.
Japanese stocks are also struggling, weighed down by
the yen's strengthening beyond 155 per dollar for the first time
in almost a month as traders ramp up bets for a BOJ rate hike
next week.
An MSCI gauge of global shares is still on
course - for now - for the best week since the start of
November, but that rally is really the story of one day -
Wednesday - when U.S. bank results got earnings season going
with a bang.
Caution is likely to reign globally, with Donald Trump's
inauguration as U.S. President on Monday looming large and
potentially bringing bombshells not only in his speech but in
any immediate executive orders, which could include massive
tariffs on friends and foes alike.
The sharp retreat in bond yields - driven by a revival in
bets for a Fed rate cut by June - must be a relief for global
investors, although it seems to have offered little to no
support for stocks in the latest market moves.
The macro economy is still front and centre for both the
fixed income and foreign exchange markets, and the dollar
is on the back foot - an unfamiliar position following six
straight weeks of gains against a basket of other leading
currencies.
The beleaguered pound seems to have found its
footing this week, as has the euro, vexing bears who
thought a plunge to parity with the dollar might be imminent at
the start of the week.
On the calendar in Europe today, Britain releases retail
sales data and the final reading of euro zone consumer inflation
is due, both for December.
Bank of Spain Governor Jose Luis Escriva gives a speech on
central bank independence in Madrid.
Wall Street earnings include State Street and Citizens
Financial Group.
Monday will be a market holiday stateside for Martin Luther
King Jr. Day.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
-UK retail sales (Dec)
-Euro zone HICP final (Dec)
-Bank of Spain Govenor Escriva speaks
-U.S. earnings from State Street, Citizens Financial Group