Sept 9 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Asian stocks are set to open sharply lower on Monday, tracking
Wall Street's slump on Friday after investors interpreted U.S.
jobs data and comments from top Fed officials as a 'worst of
both worlds' outcome - further labor market weakness, but little
appetite to cut interest rates by 50 basis points next week.
Japanese futures point to the Nikkei 225 index opening down
more than 3%, dragged lower also by the yen's strength, another
indication of the risk aversion permeating world markets.
The S&P 500 and the Dow's losses on Friday secured the
biggest weekly drop since March 2023, and the Nasdaq's 2.6% fall
confirmed its biggest weekly loss since January 2022.
If heightened anxiety over the U.S. economic and policy
outlook were not enough, Asia's calendar is packed with top-tier
economic indicators from China, Japan and Taiwan that will be of
potential global significance too.
Japan releases bank lending, trade, current account and
revised GDP growth figures, Taiwan releases trade data, and
perhaps most important of all, China unveils producer and
consumer price inflation figures.
Overseas investors are growing more cautious on Asian
stocks. LSEG data show they were net sellers in August, while JP
Morgan recently ditched its buy recommendation on Chinese
stocks. Chinese stocks on Friday closed at a seven-month low.
The signals from the United States on Friday were probably
more nuanced than markets' negative reaction would suggest. The
unemployment rate ticked lower, wage growth accelerated and
officials reaffirmed their confidence in a 'soft landing'.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller or New York Fed President
John Williams both said on Friday that it is time to cut rates.
But in prepared remarks and question and answer sessions,
neither signaled that a 50 basis point cut is in the offing.
Oil and commodity prices, meanwhile, are falling rapidly,
another sign of investors' growing unease about the global
economic picture. Asia's calendar on Monday will deliver another
few pieces of that jigsaw.
Figures from Beijing are expected to show that annual
consumer inflation in China accelerated to 0.7% in August from
0.5% in July.
That would be welcome progress. But the fight against
deflation is nowhere near over - data on Monday are expected to
show that factory gate prices fell 1.4% year-on-year in August,
nearly twice the pace of July's 0.8% fall.
Former central bank governor Yi Gang on Friday urged the
country to do more to fight deflationary pressures with more
fiscal stimulus and accommodative monetary policy.
Japan's second quarter GDP growth is expected to be revised
up slightly, while Taiwan's export growth is forecast to have
more than doubled in August to 7.35%. Taiwan's TSMC is the
world's largest contract chipmaker and Nvidia's chip
manufacturing partner.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to Asian markets on Monday:
- China PPI, CPI inflation (August)
- Japan GDP (Q2, revised)
- Taiwan trade (August)