(Fixes share RIC in first paragraph)
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike
Dolan
There's not too much to worry about at the world's most valuable
company - or the artificial intelligence theme - but just
conceding that triple-digit growth can't last forever has been
enough to stall Nvidia's share price and dampen global
tech stocks.
The $3.6 trillion chip giant's revenue forecast on Wednesday
disappointed Wall Street, with its stock down more than 3%
premarket - with peers Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ), Intel ( INTC )
and Qualcomm ( QCOM ) off about 1% in sympathy and
European chipmakers down as well.
Although it beat most metrics and consensus estimates yet
again, Nvidia forecast its slowest revenue growth in seven
quarters and flagged supply chain constraints through next year.
Its executives warned investors the company's margins would sink
several percentage points to the low-70% range until production
kinks are ironed out.
But don't shed too many tears. The AI bellwether's latest
earnings report was by most standards still extraordinary -
sales in its main data center segment more than doubled and the
company's forecast revenue of $37.5 billion for fourth quarter
was above average estimates of $37.09 billion.
And in many respects, the price reaction is modest. After
another 20% share surge over the past two months, markets feel
most of the ongoing boom is already in the price for now.
More worrying on Wednesday was U.S. retailer Target's ( TGT )
big miss on its profit and holiday-quarter sales
forecast - which sent its stock plummeting more than 20% and
stood in contrast to the previous day's beat from the world's
no. 1 retailer Walmart ( WMT ).
The politics of President-elect Donald Trump's incoming
administration still dominated thinking in the background - with
no sign yet of his pick for Treasury Secretary - and
geopolitical worries rumbled abroad.
One of the few post-election trades to keep on moving was
Bitcoin - and the dominant crypto asset zoomed close to a
record $98,000 overnight, up more than 40% over the past month.
Overall, the broader market was more subdued, with stock
futures marginally in the red on Thursday and most European and
Asian indexes lower too.
U.S. Treasury yields slipped back despite a
poorly received 20-year bond auction on Wednesday - but the
dollar remained firm.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Thursday the
central bank would "seriously" take into account foreign
exchange rate moves in compiling its economic and price
forecasts and noted there would be more information to digest
before next month's policy meeting.
Another dominant market story overseas was in India as firms
of the Adani Group conglomerate lost as much as $34 billion in
market value after U.S. prosecutors charged its billionaire
chairman in an alleged bribery and fraud scheme.
Gautam Adani's flagship Adani Enterprises tumbled
as much as 23% to its lowest since November 2023 for its worst
one-day drop since February last year.
Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S.
markets later on Thursday:
* Philadelphia Federal Reserve's November business survey,
Kansas City Fed's November business surveys; US weekly jobless
claims, US October existing home sales; Euro zone November
consumer confidence; Canada October producer prices
* US corporate earnings: Intuit, NetApp, Deere, Ross Stores,
Copart, PDD
* Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee, Cleveland
Fed President Beth Hammack and Fed Vice Chair for Supervision
Michael Barr all speak. European Central Bank chief economist
Philip Lane speaks, Bank of Spain governor Jose Luis Escriva and
Bank of Cyprus governor Christodoulos Patsalides all speak; Bank
of England policymaker Catherine Mann speaks
* US Treasury sells $17 billion of 10-year inflation-protected
securities