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Both big manufacturers, services mood down
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China economy also denting sentiment
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Business confidence is key for BOJ's policy outlook path
By Tetsushi Kajimoto
TOKYO, April 17 (Reuters) - Business confidence at big
Japanese manufacturers and services sector firms slid in April
from the prior month, dragged down by cost-of-living pressures
and shaky economic conditions in major market China, a Reuters
monthly poll showed.
The yen's weakening to levels unseen since 1990 during the
heyday of the asset-inflated bubble is lifting the cost of
imports in a blow to household consumption, according to the
Reuters Tankan survey.
Moreover, while the fall currency has boosted the value of
exports, volume of shipments have not benefited as much, the
survey found.
The Reuters Tankan sentiment index for manufacturers stood
at plus 9, down from the previous month's 10, dragged down by
chemicals and food processing.
The services sector index fell to plus 25 from plus 32 in
the previous month, despite some gains by retailers. The survey,
conducted April 3-12, found that both sectors' sentiment indexes
improving slightly over the coming three months.
The monthly Reuters Tankan, which closely tracks the Bank of
Japan's quarterly tankan survey, was conducted during the time
the Japanese currency hit its 34-year lows to the dollar beyond
153 yen. That has prompted repeated warnings from authorities
that they stood ready to take action against speculative or
destabilising currency moves. The dollar broke above 154 yen
this week.
"Our sales appear to be boosted due to the impact of a weak
yen, but there's no sign of recovery in terms of volume," a
manager of a chemicals maker wrote in the survey on condition of
anonymity.
The Reuters Tankan canvassed 497 large non-financial
Japanese firms, of which 235 responded during the survey period.
"Japanese firms on the whole may be riding momentum towards
pay raise, but price hikes have sapped consumers' appetite for
purchasing items such as food and daily goods," wrote a chemical
firm's manager.
On top of the fragile domestic demand, external factors were
also cited as a source of concern for Japanese firms.
"Demand has not stabilised due to delay in China's economic
recovery and uncertainty over the outlook such as decoupling
between U.S. and Chinese economies," a manager of a paper/pulp
maker wrote in the survey on condition of anonymity.
The BOJ's last tankan showed on April 1 services sector
optimism hit a 33-year high in the first quarter on inbound
tourism and rising profits from price hikes. But that was offset
to some extent by same survey's findings of sliding sentiment
for big manufacturers for the first time in four quarters.
On Monday, data showed Japan's core machinery orders - a key
gauge of capital spending - rebounded sharply in a welcome sign
for domestic demand.
Yet, the overall economic impulse so far this year has
pointed to insufficient demand in the economy to mount a robust
recovery in the near term. That's one reason why the Bank of
Japan has flagged a cautious track to further monetary
tightening following its landmark decision to end negative
interest rates last month.
The Reuters Tankan indexes are calculated by subtracting the
share of pessimistic respondents from optimistic ones. A
positive figure means optimists outnumber pessimists.