(Updates prices)
*
ECB seen easing on Thursday, Canada may cut on Wednesday
*
Treasury yields drop after surprisingly soft US ISM survey
*
Oil drops after OPEC+ cuts, European gas prices surge on
outage
By Koh Gui Qing and Yoruk Bahceli
NEW YORK/LONDON June 3 (Reuters) - World stocks rose on
Monday despite a subdued Wall Street following unexpected
weakness in U.S. manufacturing data, feeding uncertainty about
the U.S. interest rate outlook as the euro zone prepared for a
rate cut on Thursday.
By early evening in New York, the MSCI All Country World
Price Index added 0.41%. U.S. stocks alternated
between gains and losses, amid a reported technical glitch on
the New York Stock Exchange regarding "Limit Up-Limit Down"
bands that sent dozen of stocks listed on the exchange into
volatility pauses.
The exchange said it was investigating the problem and will
provide information as soon as possible.
The S&P 500 index edged up 0.1%, the Dow Jones
Industrial Average shed 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite
rose 0.6%. The pan-European STOXX index was up
0.32%.
Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields fell to a two-week low and
the dollar tumbled after data showed U.S. manufacturing activity
slowed for a second straight month in May. New goods orders
dropped by the most in nearly two years.
The soft data supported speculation the Federal Reserve
might cut rates this year, although some investors remained
skeptical, since inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target.
In Europe, investors expect the European Central Bank on
Thursday to cut the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%.
"We see inflation limiting how much central banks can cut
interest rates," Jean Boivin, the head of Blackrock Investment
Institute, said. "We see them keeping rates high for longer."
Benchmark 10-year note yields were lost as much
as 11 basis points at 4.4021%, and got as low as 4.404%, the
lowest since May 16. Two-year note yields fell 7
basis points to 4.823% and reached 4.816%, also the lowest since
May 21.
The ECB is considered almost certain to trim rates on
Thursday, yet after last week's surprisingly strong euro zone
inflation data, markets now price in fewer than 60 basis points
of easing.
"There's a relatively positive risk tone to start the week,
which seems like a continuation of the positive momentum seen on
Friday, albeit it is somewhat surprising given the bumper
calendar of event risk coming up," said Michael Brown,
strategist at broker Pepperstone in London.
China's factory activity in May grew at the fastest pace in
about two years, data showed on Monday. That extended optimism
in markets following Friday figures showing the Fed's preferred
measure of inflation held steady in April.
"The ECB decision is perhaps the most important event to
watch, particularly after last week's inflation data which
raises the hawkish risk that there is only one more cut this
year after a 25 bp reduction on Thursday," Brown said.
Markets imply around an 80% chance the Bank of Canada will
cut rates at its meeting on Wednesday and around 60 basis points
of easing this year, though analysts hope the easing will be
greater.
ASIAN STRENGTH
The dollar fell to a three-week low after the weak U.S.
manufacturing data. The dollar index, a measure of the U.S.
currency's value versus six major currencies, slipped 0.48% to
104.09.
The greenback also fell to a two-week low against the yen
following the data and was last down 0.6% at 156.245.
The euro rose 0.5% against the dollar to $1.0901.
In other currencies, the Mexican peso weakened after the
ruling party declared Claudia Sheinbaum winner of the
presidential election by a "large margin". The U.S. dollar was
last up 4.1% at 17.70 pesos.
India's rupee strengthened and its stock market
rose to a record high, buoyed by expectations of
sustained economic growth as Prime Minister Narendra Modi looked
set for a third term.
Gold was up 1% at $2,350.17 an ounce, having now
rallied for four months in a row, helped in part by buying from
central banks and China.
Oil prices slumped a day after OPEC+ made a complicated
decision on output that some analysts described as incrementally
bearish for oil prices.
Brent tumbled 3.61% to $78.18 a barrel, while U.S.
crude dropped 3.78% to $74.08 per barrel.
European natural gas prices rose more than 8%
to their highest this year at over 37 euros/ MWh as an outage in
Norway, which overtook Russia in 2022 as Europe's biggest gas
supplier, pushed exports sharply lower.
($1 = 157.1900 yen)