(Updates prices, adds analyst quote)
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U.S., global stocks add to gains
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Eyes on Fed minutes, Powell speech to support rate cuts
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Oil prices dip
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Gold loses hold on highs
By Lawrence Delevingne and Nell Mackenzie
Aug 19 (Reuters) - Wall Street pushed higher and the
dollar tipped lower on Monday, after stocks surged last week on
expectations the U.S. economy would dodge a recession and
cooling inflation would kick off a cycle of interest rate cuts.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.51%, to
40,866, the S&P 500 gained 0.53%, to 5,583 and the Nasdaq
Composite gained 0.54%, to 17,727. MSCI's broadest index
of world stocks had edged up around 0.67%.
The prospect of lower borrowing costs could not sustain
gold's historic highs and the dollar dipped against the euro,
while the yen lunged higher.
In the U.S., Federal Reserve members Mary Daly and Austan
Goolsbee were out over the weekend to flag the possibility of
easing in September, while minutes of the last policy meeting
due this week should underline the dovish outlook.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks in Jackson Hole on Friday and
investors assume he will acknowledge the case for a cut.
"We expect the chairman to convey on Friday that the Fed is
likely to begin easing monetary policy next month, without fully
committing to the size of the rate cut," TD Securities analysts
wrote in a note on Monday.
Interest rate futures are fully priced for a
quarter-point move, and imply a 25% chance of 50 basis points
with much depending on what the next payrolls report shows.
Yields on U.S. government debt eased on Monday; the yield on
benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 3.2 basis points
to 3.86%, from 3.892% late on Friday.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs downshifted their U.S. recession
expectations to a 20% chance and could push them lower if the
August jobs report due in September "looks reasonably good",
analysts said in a note on Friday.
Ahead of the busy week, broad European shares moved
about 0.6% higher, touching an over three-week high in
broad-based market gains, while the blue-chip FTSE 100 index
traded up 0.55%.
Investors are anticipating flash Purchasing Managers' Index
(PMI) data for Britain, France, Germany and the Eurozone later
this week.
Earlier, the Nikkei index .N225 closed 1.77% lower at
37,388.62, snapping a five-day winning run that pushed it up
8.7% last week. Chinese blue chips closed about 0.3%
higher.
CUTS FOR ALL
The Fed is not alone in contemplating looser policy, with
Sweden's central bank expected to cut rates this week, possibly
by an outsized 50 basis points.
In currency markets, the dollar lapsed 0.67% to 146.58 yen
while the euro firmed to $1.107, continuing
its August climb.
Even as markets have calmed, it is worth remembering that
the economic fundamentals behind the global markets sell-off two
weeks ago have not completely vanished, said Deutsche Bank macro
strategist Henry Allen.
"Economic data has been increasingly soft at a global level,
falling inflation means that monetary policy is increasingly
tight in real terms, geopolitical concerns are elevated, and
we're heading into a tough period on a seasonal basis," said
Allen in a note.
A softer dollar combined with lower bond yields could not
hold gold at its zenith and it fell to around $2,501 an ounce
, down from its all-time peak of $2,509.
Oil prices dipped as concerns about Chinese demand continued
to weigh on sentiment.
U.S. crude lost 2.95% to $74.39 a barrel and Brent
fell to $77.62 per barrel, down 2.59% on the day.