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Stocks rally sharply, European futures jump
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Bond market rout shows signs of stabilising
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Fed funds futures retreat
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, April 10 (Reuters) - Global stocks rallied,
the dollar found footing and a manic bond selloff stabilised on
Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would
temporarily lower the hefty duties he had just imposed on dozens
of countries.
Following a days-long market rout that erased trillions of
dollars from global stocks and pressured U.S. Treasury bonds and
the dollar, Trump on Wednesday announced a 90-day pause on many
of his new tariffs in a shock reversal.
The move sent Wall Street's "Magnificent Seven" stocks
tacking on more than $1.5 trillion in market value overnight and
the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index clocked
their biggest daily percentage gains in more than a decade.
But U.S. futures turned lower on Thursday, with Nasdaq
futures falling 0.67% and S&P 500 futures down
0.17%.
The dollar logged its largest one-day jump against the yen
in two months and in five against the Swiss franc
in the previous session, and held to most of those
gains in Asia on Thursday.
Japan's Nikkei surged 8%, while European futures
shot up.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures and DAX futures
climbed roughly 9% each. FTSE futures jumped 6%.
"This is a piece of news that surprised market participants,
given the magnitude of the move ... Obviously this is a pretty
strong risk-on environment we're seeing in the aftermath of the
announcement," said Jeff Schulze, head of economic and market
strategy at ClearBridge Investments.
"However, given the tariffs that have been announced and
that are staying in place ... that is still going to
dramatically increase the average effective tariff rate in the
U.S. to close to 20%."
Trump's reversal on the country-specific tariffs is not
absolute. A 10% blanket duty on almost all U.S. imports will
remain in effect, the White House said. The announcement also
does not appear to affect duties on autos, steel and aluminium
that are already in place.
He also heaped pressure on China, saying he would raise the
tariff on Chinese imports to 125% from the 104% level that came
into effect on Wednesday.
China on Wednesday raised additional duties on American
products to 84% and imposed restrictions on 18 U.S. companies,
mostly in defence-related industries.
"It is difficult to see either side backing down in the next
few days. But we suspect that talks will eventually happen,
although a full rollback of all the additional tariffs applied
since Inauguration Day appear unlikely," said Paul Ashworth,
chief North America economist at Capital Economics.
"Our long-standing assumption that the effective tariff rate
on China would settle around 60% still seems like the best bet."
Ahead of the onshore open of Chinese markets, the offshore
yuan was last 0.15% weaker at 7.3570 per dollar, having
struck a record low earlier in the week.
BONDS SELLOFF
A steep selloff in bonds this week also showed some signs of
easing on Thursday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was last at
4.3160%, having touched a high of 4.5150% in the previous
session and rising some 13 basis points.
A violent U.S. Treasury selloff in the previous sessions,
evoking the COVID-era "dash for cash", had reignited fears of
fragility in the world's biggest bond market.
"Sticky inflation, a patient (Federal Reserve), potential
foreign buyer boycotts, hedge fund deleveraging, rebalancing out
of bonds into cash, and an illiquid Treasury market are all
reasons why Treasury yields continue to move higher," said
Lawrence Gillum, chief fixed income strategist at LPL Financial.
Fed policymakers signalled they will not be quick to ride to
the rescue with interest rate cuts because they expect higher
tariffs to boost inflation, even as they worry Trump's trade
policy could deal a blow to economic growth, minutes of the
central bank's mid-March meeting out on Wednesday showed.
Markets are now pricing in just about 80 basis points of
rate cuts by December, down from more than 100 bps earlier in
the week.
Elsewhere, oil prices rose on optimism over the pause on
tariffs.
Spot gold extended its climb and was last up 0.5% at
$3,097.52 an ounce.