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Europe, Asia stocks rally sharply after Trump pauses most
tariffs
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US futures lower after biggest jump since 2008
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Chinese equities rise even as US tariffs take hold
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Bond market rout stabilises
By Samuel Indyk and Rae Wee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, April 10 (Reuters) - Global shares
surged and a manic bond selloff eased on Thursday after U.S.
President Donald Trump said he would temporarily lower some of
the hefty duties he had just imposed on dozens of countries.
Following a days-long market rout that erased trillions of
dollars from global stocks and jolted U.S. Treasury bonds and
the dollar, Trump on Wednesday announced a 90-day pause on many
of his new reciprocal tariffs in a shock reversal.
"You've had a relief rally after the realisation that market
pressure is something that resonates with the U.S. president,"
said George Lagarias, chief economist at Forvis Mazars.
"The key takeaway here is that there are limits and
thresholds that he (Trump) will likely respect," Lagarias added.
Trump's reversal pushed equities higher across the globe,
starting with a 9.5% rally in the S&P 500 on Wednesday.
European shares followed suit on Thursday. The
pan-continental STOXX 600 index was last up 5.3%, on
track for its biggest one-day gain since March 2020.
Major indexes in London, Paris and Frankfurt
were up between 4.6% and 5.7%.
In Asia, Japan's Nikkei advanced more than 9%, while
a broader gauge of Asia-Pacific stocks excluding Japan
rose 4.5%.
But Wall Street futures took a breather after the towering
rally, as investors struggled to come to terms with the U.S.
administration's economic policies.
"The world - political and financial - is looking on with
horror, not bemusement, at an administration that prioritises
the signing of an executive order for more water-power in shower
heads, on the same day that the bond market breaks and investors
question the long-term credibility of the administration having
flip-flopped on the largest of their policies, tariffs," said
Martin Whetton, head of financial markets strategy at Westpac.
Nasdaq futures fell 2% and S&P 500 futures
were off 1.7%.
Both indexes had clocked their biggest daily percentage
gains in more than a decade during Wednesday's cash session.
The dollar weakened across the board, falling by around 1.5%
against the yen and 1.9% against the Swiss franc
, having failed to sustain its jump against the two
safe-haven currencies in the previous session.
"I think the initial move was just massive short cover, and
this has given the world a bit of a breathing space, except for
China... because markets were starting to price in the
worst-case scenario," said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at
ANZ.
Trump's about-turn on the country-specific tariffs is not
absolute. A 10% blanket duty on almost all U.S. imports will
remain in effect, the White House said. The announcement also
does not appear to affect duties on autos, steel and aluminium
that are already in place.
The European Union will put on hold for 90 days its first
countermeasures against Trump's tariffs, European Commission
President Ursula von der Leyen said on Thursday.
Yet China has shown little sign of backing down, and Trump
said he would raise the tariff on Chinese imports to 125% from
the 104% level that came into effect on Wednesday.
China on Wednesday raised additional duties on American
products to 84% and imposed restrictions on 18 U.S. companies,
mostly in defence-related industries.
Investors for now seemed to view the latest escalation of
Sino-U.S. trade tensions with a narrow lens, choosing merely to
focus on the 90-day window Trump has granted to dozens of
countries.
China's CSI300 blue-chip index rose 1.3%, while
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index advanced 2.1%.
"I guess at least the relief is now global trade won't grind
to a complete halt," said Wong Kok Hoong, head of equity sales
trading at Maybank said in a note.
"The China + 1 supply chain route (is) still intact. As the
rest of the world will be at workable 10% tariffs for 90 days,
companies/businesses have time/alternatives to adjust
supply chain routes."
The onshore yuan fell to its weakest level since
December 2007 at 7.3518 per dollar, before strengthening in
European trade.
Prior to market opening, the People's Bank of China (PBOC)
set the midpoint rate, around which the yuan is
allowed to trade in a 2% band, at its lowest level since
September 11, 2023.
BONDS SELLOFF
A steep selloff in U.S. bonds this week also showed some
signs of easing on Thursday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield dropped 9
basis points (bps) to 4.3063%, having touched a high of 4.5150%
in the previous session.
A violent U.S. Treasury selloff in the previous sessions,
evoking the COVID-era "dash for cash", had reignited fears of
fragility in the world's biggest bond market.
"It makes sense to apply some uncertainty discount on U.S.
risk assets," said Forvis Mazars's Lagarias.
German Bunds, which had acted as the lone safe haven in the
bond market, sold off on Thursday. The 10-year yield
was up 6 bps at 2.638% while the two-year rose 13 bps
to 1.842%.
Elsewhere, oil prices fell as investors fretted about the
continued growth shock from the worsening Sino-U.S. trade war.
Brent crude futures were down 2.3% at $63.94 per barrel, while
U.S. crude fell 2.5% to $60.82.
Spot gold extended its climb and was last up 1% at
$3,113 an ounce.