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STOXX 600 falls 1.7%, U.S. futures lower
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Nikkei dives over 4%
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Trump says US tariffs to cover all countries
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Flight to safety buoys bonds, gold hits record
By Samuel Indyk and Wayne Cole
LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) - Major global share markets
fell sharply on Monday and gold surged to another new record
after U.S. President Donald Trump said tariffs would essentially
cover all countries, stoking worries a global trade war could
lead to a recession.
Trump's comments to reporters on Air Force One seemed to
dash hopes the levies would be limited to a smaller group of
countries with the biggest trade imbalances.
Trump is due to receive tariff recommendations on Tuesday
and announce initial levels on Wednesday, followed by auto
tariffs the day after.
"What the Trump administration has shown us so far is that
you should not expect a consistent approach," said George
Lagarias, chief economist at Forvis Mazars.
"This is what scares the market the most. Inconsistency
breeds uncertainty, and markets hate uncertainty."
Europe's STOXX 600 fell 1.7% to its lowest level in
almost eight weeks, while major indexes in Frankfurt,
London and Paris fell between 1.3% and 2%.
S&P 500 futures lost over 1%, extending losses after
Friday's 2% drop, while Nasdaq futures shed 1.5%.
Japan's Nikkei led the rout in Asia, losing an
eye-watering 4.1% and falling to a six-month low as automaker
stocks continued to suffer fallout from Trump's talk of 25%
tariffs on imported cars.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
shed 1.9%.
Seeking any safe harbour from the trade storm, investors
piled into sovereign bonds and the Japanese yen and pushed gold
prices to another all-time high.
"For the first time in years, we find ourselves genuinely
worried about risk assets," said Ajay Rajadhyaksha, head of
rates markets at Barclays.
"If policy chaos and trade wars worsen much further, a
recession is now a realistic risk across major economies," he
added. "For the first time in many quarters, we favour core
fixed income over global equities."
THAT "R" WORD
Many economists are worried that tariffs will hit the U.S.
economy hard, even as they limit the Federal Reserve's scope to
cut rates by driving inflation in the short term.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs now see a 35% chance of a U.S.
recession, up from 20% previously, saying they expect Trump to
announce reciprocal tariffs that average 15% across all U.S.
trading partners on April 2.
Data out on Friday underlined the risks as a key measure of
core inflation rose by more than expected in February while
consumer spending disappointed.
That raised the stakes for the March payrolls report due on
Friday where any outcome below the 140,000 gain expected would
only add to recession fears. Also due are a rush of surveys on
factories and services, along with figures on trade and job
openings.
Bond investors seemed to be betting the slowdown in U.S.
economic growth will outweigh a temporary lift in inflation and
prompt the Fed to cut rates by about 80 basis points this year.
This, combined with a flight from risk assets, saw the
10-year Treasury yield drop as low as 4.184% while
the two-year yield hit 3.842%. Germany's 10-year
yield fell as low as 2.659%, its lowest since March
5.
The outlook for rates could become clearer when Fed Chair
Jerome Powell speaks on Friday, following a host of other Fed
speakers this week.
The drop in U.S. yields saw the dollar ease 0.4% to 149.30
yen, while the euro held at $1.0817. The
dollar index was steady at 104.05, having slipped for the
previous two sessions.
The perceived safety of gold saw the metal hit another
all-time high at $3,128.06 an ounce.
Brent rose 0.8% to $74.24 a barrel, while U.S. crude
added 0.4% to $69.65 per barrel as U.S. President Trump
has threatened secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian oil if he
felt Moscow was blocking efforts to end the war in Ukraine.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Lincoln Feast, Joe Bavier and
Aidan Lewis)