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U.S. CPI slightly above expectations
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Jobless claims climb, boosted by Helene
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Market views for 25-bp Fed rate cut in November climb
(Updated at 10:35 a.m. ET/1435 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) -
Global stocks slipped for the first time in three sessions
while shorter-dated U.S. Treasury yields dipped as slightly
higher than expected U.S. inflation data and a jump in weekly
jobless claims did not diminish expectations the Fed will cut
rates in November.
U.S.
consumer prices rose
(CPI) slightly more than expected in September amid higher
food costs, but the annual increase in inflation was the
smallest in more than 3-1/2 years. The Labor Department said the
consumer price index increased 0.2% last month after gaining
0.2% in August, slightly above expectations of economists polled
by Reuters for a 0.1% rise.
In the 12 months through September, the CPI rose 2.4%
versus the 2.3% estimate.
Other data showed weekly initial
jobless claims jumped
33,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 258,000, well
above the 230,000 estimate, although the climb was partially
attributed to distortions from Hurricane Helene.
The data helped solidify expectations the Federal
Reserve with cut interest rates next month, with CME's
FedWatch Tool
showing markets pricing in an 87.1% chance for a cut of 25
basis points (bps), up from 80.3% in the prior session.
The market had been pricing in a 32.1% chance for
another outsized cut of 50 bps a week ago.
"Inflation was a little hotter than expected in
September. Inflation expectations move in tandem with energy
prices, so the Fed will have to start giving equal airtime to
worries about inflation moving higher and the economy slowing.
Goods price deflation won't be enough to counterbalance higher
energy and food prices," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at
Annex Wealth Management in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
"The market swung from thinking the Fed was too timid in
its rate cut projections to being a bit ambitious."
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 84.06
points, or 0.20%, to 42,427.45; the S&P 500 fell 15.15
points, or 0.26%, to 5,777.02 and the Nasdaq Composite
fell 60.79 points, or 0.33%, to 18,230.82. Both the Dow and S&P
500 closed at record highs on Wednesday.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
fell 1.02 points, or 0.12%, to 847.62, on track to snap
back-to-back sessions of gains. In Europe, the STOXX 600
index fell 0.21%.
Markets have been dialing back expectations the Fed will be
aggressive in cutting interest rates after Friday's strong U.S.
payrolls report. Comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other
central bank officials have signaled the Fed has shifted its
primary focus from combating inflation to labor market
stability.
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank Austan Goolsbee said after
the CPI data that he sees a series of interest-rate cuts over
the next year to year and a half, noting that inflation is now
near the Fed's 2% goal and the economy is about at full
employment, and the Fed's goal is to freeze those conditions in
place.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
rose 2.9 basis points to 4.096% while the 2-year note
yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate
expectations, fell 2.6 basis points to 3.991%.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, rose 0.13% to 103.01, with the
euro down 0.21% at $1.0916.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.42%
to 148.66. Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on
Thursday the central bank will consider raising interest rates
if the board has "greater confidence" that its economic and
price forecasts will be realized.
Sterling weakened 0.28% to $1.3032.
Oil prices advanced after two sessions of decline, boosted
by a spike in fuel demand as Hurricane Milton barreled into
Florida, with Middle East supply risks also in focus.
U.S. crude rose 2.13% to $74.80 a barrel and Brent
rose to $78.27 per barrel, up 2.21% on the day.