(Updates throughout after U.S. nonfarm payrolls, adds investor
comment and chart)
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Stocks extend global selloff after China retaliates
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European stocks set for worst day since pandemic
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Traders ramp up bets on Fed, BoE, ECB rate cuts
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Trump's tariffs send investors running to safe havens
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Live coverage of the latest developments on
tariffs
By Harry Robertson
LONDON, April 4 (Reuters) - Global stocks tumbled for a
second day on Friday as U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping
tariff plans sowed fears about a global recession, with the
sell-off deepening after China said it would impose additional
levies of 34% on American goods.
Oil prices dropped as investors fretted about global growth
and rushed towards the safety of government bonds and the
Japanese yen, while traders ramped up their bets on steep rate
cuts from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks.
Trump on Wednesday slapped a 10% tariff on most U.S. imports
and much higher levies on dozens of countries, erecting the
steepest trade barriers in more than 100 years. China's response
in kind on Friday confirmed investors' worst fears that a
full-blown global trade war is under way.
"The market is doing one thing: pricing in a global
recession," said George Saravelos, global head of FX research at
Deutsche Bank.
Data on Friday showing the U.S. economy added far more jobs
than expected in March did little to brighten the mood.
Europe's STOXX 600 was down 4.2% after sliding on
Thursday and was on track for its biggest daily fall since the
COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 2.8%
overnight for a second session running.
Futures for the U.S. S&P 500 slumped 2.5% after the
cash index plunged 4.8% on Thursday - the biggest drop since
2020 - while Nasdaq futures were down 2.6%.
"If we start seeing negotiations taking place, or Trump
dialling back on some of these tariffs, that is the only
possible route to allow for an abatement of the sell-off," said
Aneeka Gupta, equity strategist and economist at WisdomTree.
"But for now that seems very unlikely."
The VIX index, a closely watched measure of expected
volatility in U.S. stocks, rose sharply to the highest since
August, at 38.
Brent crude oil fell to the lowest in four years
below $65 a barrel.
SAFE HAVENS RALLY
Traders on Friday were pricing in almost 110 basis points of
Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, up from around 75 basis
points on Wednesday, and increased their bets on Bank of England
and European Central Bank reductions too.
After years of huge flows into U.S. stocks and a booming
American economy, investors are grappling with where to put
their cash.
That helped drive a powerful rush towards government bond
markets, where the 10-year U.S. government bond, or Treasury,
yield was down 15 basis points to 3.92%, after
falling 14 basis points on Thursday. Yields move inversely to
prices.
Lower interest rates - which dent lenders' margins - and
worries about growth battered banking stocks, with the STOXX 600
banking index slumping 8% after a sharp sell-off of Wall
Street lenders on Thursday.
The most obvious sign of nerves about the health of the U.S.
economy and markets was a 1.9% drop in the dollar index
on Thursday, the biggest fall since November 2022.
The dollar initially rebounded somewhat on Friday, but that
faded after the China tariff announcement. The euro
was last up 0.1% after rallying 1.9% on Thursday, with the
dollar index flat.
The Japanese yen and Swiss franc, safe-haven currencies,
rose around 0.4% and 0.8% respectively . The
Australian dollar - sometimes seen as a barometer of
investors' risk appetite and a proxy for the Chinese yuan -
plunged 3.2%.
Michael Metcalfe, head of global strategy at State Street
Global Markets, said the weakness in the dollar this week was
striking.
"It's almost like the reverse TINA trade," Metcalfe said.
"The original TINA trade was, there is no alternative to the
U.S., and everyone suddenly wants to reduce their risk in the
U.S."