(Updates prices in late morning trading in London, adds
comment)
*
Stocks extend global selloff after Trump's tariffs
*
Banks suffer as investors worry about global recession
*
Traders ramp up bets on Fed, BoE, ECB rate cuts
*
Safe-haven assets rise, 10-year UST yield falls below 4%
By Harry Robertson and Rae Wee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, April 4 (Reuters) - Global stocks
tumbled for a second day on Friday after U.S. President Donald
Trump's sweeping tariff plans wiped $2.4 trillion off Wall
Street equities, with the sell-off deepening after China said it
would impose additional tariffs of 34% on all U.S. goods.
Banking stocks cratered as investors fretted about growth
and priced in far more central bank rate cuts, with benchmark
10-year U.S. Treasury yields sliding to their lowest since
October, after Trump slapped a 10% tariff on most U.S. imports
and much higher levies on dozens of countries.
"If the current slate of tariffs holds, a Q2 or Q3 recession
is very possible, as is a bear market," said David Bahnsen,
chief investment officer at The Bahnsen Group.
"The question is, does President Trump seek some sort of
off-ramp for these policies if and when we see a bear market in
the stock market."
Europe's STOXX 600 dropped 3.1% after sliding on
Thursday, putting the index on track for its biggest weekly fall
since February 2022 at 6.6%. Japan's Nikkei 225 slumped
2.8% overnight for a second session running.
Futures for the U.S. S&P 500 fell 1.6% after the cash
index plunged 4.8% on Thursday - the biggest one-day fall since
the COVID-19 crisis in 2020.
Nasdaq futures were down 1.7% after the index
dropped 5.4% on Thursday. The VIX index, a closely
watched measure of expected volatility in U.S. stocks, climbed
to the highest since August at 33.
BANKS SLIDE AS RATE CUT BETS RISE
Traders on Friday were pricing in more than 100 basis points
of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, up from around 75 basis
points on Wednesday, and increased their bets on Bank of England
and European Central Bank reductions too.
The risk of a U.S. and global recession this year has risen
to 60% from 40% earlier after Trump's tariff announcements, J.P.
Morgan said.
Lower interest rates - which dent lenders' margins - and
worries about growth battered banking stocks, with the STOXX 600
banking index slumping 8.7%.
HSBC ( HSBC ) shares dropped 6.9%, UBS fell 5.5%
and BNP Paribas slid 8%.
That followed an 8% rout for Japanese banks overnight
and a sharp sell-off of Wall Street lenders on
Thursday. Citigroup ( C/PN ) dropped more than 12%, Bank of America ( BAC )
sank 11% and a host of other major lenders suffered
similar falls.
"If we start seeing negotiations taking place, or, Trump
dialling back on some of these tariffs, that is the only
possible route to allow for an abatement of the sell-off," said
Aneeka Gupta, equity strategist and economist at WisdomTree.
"But for now that seems very unlikely."
As investors continued to hunt for safety, 10-year U.S.
government bond, or Treasury, yields dropped 16
basis points to 3.897%, after falling 14 basis points on
Thursday. Yields move inversely to prices.
The most obvious sign of nerves about the health of the U.S.
economy and markets was a 1.9% drop in the dollar index
on Thursday, the biggest fall since November 2022.
The dollar found a footing on Friday, however, with the euro
down 0.5% after rallying 1.9% on Thursday.
The Swiss franc, another safe haven, perked up about 0.5%
while the Australian dollar - sometimes seen
as a barometer of investors' risk appetite - plunged 2.2%.
"The thing that might help markets a little bit is that we
get data that suggests that, actually, we are going to get
1%-plus growth in the U.S. in the last quarter," said Michael
Metcalfe, head of macro strategy at State Street Global Markets.
Metcalfe pointed to U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, due at 1230
GMT (8.30 a.m. ET), as one key data point. The figures are
expected to show the U.S. economy added 135,000 jobs in March,
down from 151,000 in February.
Japanese 10-year government bond yields were
set for their biggest weekly fall - at 37 basis points - since
1992 and last traded at 1.175%.
Oil prices also dropped on worries about growth and demand
, with Brent crude futures down 2.9% to $68.10 a barrel.